Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kashima Antlers v Nagoya Grampus

Início: 2026-08-15 09:00 UTC

Final: Kashima Antlers 2–1 Nagoya Grampus

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kashima Antlers (Local)

Previsão 49.73%2.01odd justa
EV -1.04%
Vantagem -0.525%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.06%49.84%49.75%52.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.831.831.9957.47%54.60%54.64%50.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nagoya Grampus (Visitante)

Previsão 23.65%4.23odd justa
EV +3.83%
Vantagem +0.871%
Kelly +1.13%
Crescimento +0.043%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.65%23.47%23.68%24.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.703.973.954.3927.03%25.18%25.32%22.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.62%3.76odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -0.699%
Kelly -0.962%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.60%26.69%26.57%27.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.473.503.6630.30%28.81%28.57%27.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kashima Antlers (Local): 49.73%; Nagoya Grampus (Visitante): 23.65%; Empate: 26.62%. Para Nagoya Grampus (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.23. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.39, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.83%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.65%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.65%EV +3.83%E +0.871%K +1.13%G +0.043%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 08:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +0.514%E +0.121%K +0.158%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 23:49
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.92%EV -0.195%E -0.046%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.43%EV -2.56%E -0.699%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 08:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 08:44
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:44
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:45
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:44
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:45
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.48%E -7.09%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -0.668%E -0.159%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 08:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -13.48%E -7.75%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -3.03%E -0.740%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 08:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -13.48%E -7.75%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -3.03%E -0.740%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -13.48%E -7.75%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -3.03%E -0.740%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 08:44
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.64%EV -4.22%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 07:49
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:04
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.51%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 08:24
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 08:23
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 07:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 08:55
BetAnything🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%EV -1.04%E -0.525%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 08:55
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 08:49
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -6.51%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 08:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -7.29%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -5.75%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 08:39
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 08:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 06:10
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 08:54
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 08:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 07:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.74%EV -10.00%E -5.52%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.81%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 08:34
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 08:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.12%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.97%EV -10.28%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 08:34
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 08:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 08:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 08:55
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 08:55
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 06:14
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.31%E -3.02%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 08:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.24%EV -11.49%E -6.45%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.31%E -3.02%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 07:50
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.49%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 08:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.49%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 08:05
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.49%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.49%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 08:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.06%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.97%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.0%2026-08-15 08:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.62%0.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.62%0.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.62%0.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-08-15 08:55
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-08-15 08:50