Language:English
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Kawasaki Frontale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local)
Prediction 62.21%1.61fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -6.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.71%62.24%62.23%64.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.5570.42%66.72%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kawasaki Frontale (Visit)
Prediction 17.12%5.84fair odd
EV +2.73%
Edge +0.454%
Kelly +0.545%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.83%17.11%17.04%18.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.245.106.0020.83%19.09%19.61%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.67%4.84fair odd
EV -0.790%
Edge -0.165%
Kelly -0.208%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.15%20.65%20.73%22.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.374.334.8024.39%22.90%23.09%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local): 62.21%; Kawasaki Frontale (Visit): 17.12%; Draw: 20.67%. For Kawasaki Frontale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.84. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +2.73%E +0.454%K +0.545%G +0.015% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -1.82%E -0.384%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 09:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.91%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.21%EV +1.70%E +0.286%K +0.344%G +0.006% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.88%EV -4.72%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 10:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.38%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39%EV -0.699%E -0.121%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 09:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -0.699%E -0.121%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 09:28 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.47%EV -1.21%E -0.210%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -10.09%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.06%EV -9.17%E -6.28%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -1.56%E -0.270%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.24%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -2.41%E -0.423%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 09:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -11.66%E -8.21%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -2.41%E -0.423%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -0.790%E -0.165%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -4.12%E -0.736%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 10:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -4.12%E -0.736%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -7.31%E -4.90%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -4.12%E -0.736%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 10:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.84%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 09:28 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.84%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 08:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.84%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 09:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -9.80%E -6.76%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -5.84%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -11.12%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -7.55%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 09:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -7.31%E -4.90%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV -9.26%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -10.09%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.60%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -9.26%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -11.12%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.54%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.99%EV -9.26%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-22 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -10.12%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 10:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -10.12%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -10.09%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.12%EV -9.17%E -6.28%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -10.12%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 09:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -3.57%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -3.57%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -3.57%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -3.57%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.20%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 09:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 10:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 09:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -9.80%E -6.76%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -16.11%E -3.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.28%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -17.82%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -10.50%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.82%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -10.50%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 10:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.82%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -10.50%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 10:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.82%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -10.50%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 10:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.10% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.10% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.10% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 10:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 10:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.99% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 10:00 |