Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Kawasaki Frontale

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC

Score final : Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local)

Prévision 62.21%1.61cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -6.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.71%62.24%62.23%64.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.501.501.5570.42%66.72%66.67%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kawasaki Frontale (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.12%5.84cote équitable
EV +2.73%
Avantage +0.454%
Kelly +0.545%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.83%17.11%17.04%18.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.245.106.0020.83%19.09%19.61%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.67%4.84cote équitable
EV -0.790%
Avantage -0.165%
Kelly -0.208%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.15%20.65%20.73%22.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.374.334.8024.39%22.90%23.09%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local) : 62.21% ; Kawasaki Frontale (Visiteur) : 17.12% ; Match nul : 20.67%. Pour Kawasaki Frontale (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.84. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +2.73%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +2.73%E +0.454%K +0.545%G +0.015%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -1.82%E -0.384%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 09:09
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.91%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.21%EV +1.70%E +0.286%K +0.344%G +0.006%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.88%EV -4.72%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 10:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.38%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39%EV -0.699%E -0.121%K -0.146%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 09:54
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -0.699%E -0.121%K -0.146%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 09:28
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.47%EV -1.21%E -0.210%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -10.09%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 10:10
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.06%EV -9.17%E -6.28%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -1.56%E -0.270%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 09:10
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.24%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -2.41%E -0.423%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 09:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -11.66%E -8.21%K -27.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -2.41%E -0.423%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -0.790%E -0.165%K -0.208%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -4.12%E -0.736%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 10:10
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -4.12%E -0.736%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 10:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -7.31%E -4.90%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -4.12%E -0.736%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 10:00
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.84%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 09:28
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.84%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 08:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.84%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 09:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -9.80%E -6.76%K -21.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -5.84%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -11.12%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 09:10
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -7.55%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 09:53
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -7.31%E -4.90%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV -9.26%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -10.09%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.60%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -9.26%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -11.12%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 09:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.54%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.99%EV -9.26%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 09:49
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -10.12%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 10:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -10.12%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -10.09%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.12%EV -9.17%E -6.28%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -10.12%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 09:49
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -3.57%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -3.57%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -3.57%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -3.57%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.20%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 09:29
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:19
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:20
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:19
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:19
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:19
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 09:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 09:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 09:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 09:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 09:19
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 10:05
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 09:30
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 09:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -9.80%E -6.76%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -16.11%E -3.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 09:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.28%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -17.82%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -10.50%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.82%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -10.50%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 10:05
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.82%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -10.50%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 10:05
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.82%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -10.50%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 10:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.10%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-08-22 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.10%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-08-22 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.10%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-08-22 10:00
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-08-22 10:05
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-08-22 10:10
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.99%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%1.5%2026-08-22 10:00