Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Kawasaki Frontale

Início: 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC

Final: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local)

Previsão 62.21%1.61odd justa
EV -3.57%
Vantagem -2.31%
Kelly -6.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.71%62.24%62.23%64.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.421.501.501.5570.42%66.72%66.67%64.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kawasaki Frontale (Visitante)

Previsão 17.12%5.84odd justa
EV +2.73%
Vantagem +0.454%
Kelly +0.545%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.83%17.11%17.04%18.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.805.245.106.0020.83%19.09%19.61%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.67%4.84odd justa
EV -0.790%
Vantagem -0.165%
Kelly -0.208%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.15%20.65%20.73%22.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.374.334.8024.39%22.90%23.09%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local): 62.21%; Kawasaki Frontale (Visitante): 17.12%; Empate: 20.67%. Para Kawasaki Frontale (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.84. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.73%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +2.73%E +0.454%K +0.545%G +0.015%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -1.82%E -0.384%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 09:09
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.91%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.21%EV +1.70%E +0.286%K +0.344%G +0.006%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.88%EV -4.72%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 10:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.38%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39%EV -0.699%E -0.121%K -0.146%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 09:54
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -0.699%E -0.121%K -0.146%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 09:28
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.47%EV -1.21%E -0.210%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -10.09%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 10:10
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.06%EV -9.17%E -6.28%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -1.56%E -0.270%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 09:10
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.24%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -2.41%E -0.423%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 09:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -11.66%E -8.21%K -27.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -2.41%E -0.423%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -0.790%E -0.165%K -0.208%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -4.12%E -0.736%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 10:10
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -4.12%E -0.736%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 10:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -7.31%E -4.90%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -4.12%E -0.736%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 10:00
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.84%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 09:28
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.84%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 08:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.84%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 09:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -9.80%E -6.76%K -21.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -5.84%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -11.12%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 09:10
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -7.55%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 09:53
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -7.31%E -4.90%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV -9.26%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -10.09%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.60%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -9.26%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -11.12%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 09:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.54%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.99%EV -9.26%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 09:49
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.82%E -3.15%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -10.12%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 10:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -10.12%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -10.09%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.12%EV -9.17%E -6.28%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -10.12%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 09:49
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -3.57%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -3.57%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -3.57%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -3.57%E -2.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.20%EV -8.55%E -5.82%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 09:29
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:19
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:20
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:19
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:19
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -4.20%E -2.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -5.44%E -3.58%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:19
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 09:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 09:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 09:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 09:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -6.06%E -4.01%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 09:19
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 10:05
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 09:30
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.42%E -7.23%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.40%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 09:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -9.80%E -6.76%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -16.11%E -3.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 09:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.28%EV -6.68%E -4.46%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -17.82%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -10.50%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.82%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -10.50%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 10:05
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.82%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -10.50%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 10:05
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.93%E -5.36%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.82%E -3.71%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -10.50%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 10:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.10%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-08-22 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.10%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-08-22 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.10%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-08-22 10:00
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-08-22 10:05
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-08-22 10:10
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.99%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%1.5%2026-08-22 10:00