Language:English
Gamba Osaka v FC Tokyo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka (Local)
Prediction 25.45%3.93fair odd
EV -0.735%
Edge -0.188%
Kelly -0.253%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%25.37%25.54%26.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.383.593.503.9029.59%27.86%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Tokyo (Visit)
Prediction 49.23%2.03fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.99%49.31%49.14%50.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.891.891.9755.87%52.96%52.91%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.32%3.95fair odd
EV +0.021%
Edge +0.005%
Kelly +0.007%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.02%25.33%25.31%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.563.503.9529.41%28.09%28.57%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gamba Osaka (Local): 25.45%; FC Tokyo (Visit): 49.23%; Draw: 25.32%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.949. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.950, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.021%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.51%EV -5.32%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.47%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV +0.021%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 12:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.97%EV -2.52%E -0.657%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.33%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -2.00%E -0.518%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -2.51%E -0.652%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -2.51%E -0.652%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -4.81%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -2.01%E -0.521%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 22:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -3.28%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 10:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.28%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 22:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -3.28%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.95%E -4.25%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -0.735%E -0.188%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 12:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 12:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.34%EV -8.44%E -4.54%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.11%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 22:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.20%EV -10.41%E -5.72%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -10.11%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.91%EV -13.97%E -4.13%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.92%EV -11.89%E -6.64%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.17%EV -11.88%E -3.41%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 10:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 14:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 14:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 14:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.60% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.92% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |