默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Gamba Osaka v FC Tokyo

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 10:00 UTC

最终结果: Gamba Osaka 0–2 FC Tokyo

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Gamba Osaka (主队)

预测 25.45%3.93公平赔率
EV -0.735%
优势 -0.188%
Kelly -0.253%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
23.53%25.37%25.54%26.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.383.593.503.9029.59%27.86%28.57%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Tokyo (客队)

预测 49.23%2.03公平赔率
EV -3.03%
优势 -1.54%
Kelly -3.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.97

博彩公司预测分布
46.99%49.31%49.14%50.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.791.891.891.9755.87%52.96%52.91%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.32%3.95公平赔率
EV +0.021%
优势 +0.005%
Kelly +0.007%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.95

博彩公司预测分布
24.02%25.33%25.31%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.563.503.9529.41%28.09%28.57%25.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Gamba Osaka (主队):25.45%;FC Tokyo (客队):49.23%;平局:25.32%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.949。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.950,对应+0.021%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.51%EV -5.32%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.47%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV +0.021%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 12:46
1xBet🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 24.97%EV -2.52%E -0.657%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.33%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -2.00%E -0.518%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -2.51%E -0.652%K -0.881%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -2.51%E -0.652%K -0.881%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -4.81%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 13:00
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -2.01%E -0.521%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -3.28%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 10:04
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 10:05
Bovada🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 10:16
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.28%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:29
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -3.28%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.95%E -4.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 10:05
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:05
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -0.735%E -0.188%K -0.253%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 12:51
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 13:35
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 13:35
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 12:51
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.34%EV -8.44%E -4.54%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.11%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.20%EV -10.41%E -5.72%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -10.11%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 10:20
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 10:20
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:09
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 18:55
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 10:04
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-07 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 25.91%EV -13.97%E -4.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.92%EV -11.89%E -6.64%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.17%EV -11.88%E -3.41%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-09 10:04
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 10:20
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:19
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:20
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:20
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 10:20
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 10:09
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 10:19
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 10:20
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 10:00
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 10:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 10:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.1%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%3.3%2026-09-09 14:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%3.3%2026-09-09 14:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%3.3%2026-09-09 14:21
Smarkets◎3.90I 25.64%NM 24.60%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.92%4.2%2026-09-09 13:10