Idioma:Español
Gamba Osaka v FC Tokyo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gamba Osaka (Local)
Predicción 25.45%3.93momio equitativo
EV -0.735%
Ventaja -0.188%
Kelly -0.253%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.53%25.37%25.54%26.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.383.593.503.9029.59%27.86%28.57%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Tokyo (Visitante)
Predicción 49.23%2.03momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -3.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.99%49.31%49.14%50.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.791.891.891.9755.87%52.96%52.91%50.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.32%3.95momio equitativo
EV +0.021%
Ventaja +0.005%
Kelly +0.007%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.02%25.33%25.31%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.563.503.9529.41%28.09%28.57%25.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gamba Osaka (Local): 25.45%; FC Tokyo (Visitante): 49.23%; Empate: 25.32%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.949. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.950, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.021%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.51%EV -5.32%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.47%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV +0.021%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 12:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.97%EV -2.52%E -0.657%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.33%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -2.00%E -0.518%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -2.51%E -0.652%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -2.51%E -0.652%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -4.81%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -2.01%E -0.521%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 22:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -3.28%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 10:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.28%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 22:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -3.28%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.95%E -4.25%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -0.735%E -0.188%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 12:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 12:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.34%EV -8.44%E -4.54%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.11%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 22:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.20%EV -10.41%E -5.72%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -10.11%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.92%E -5.42%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.91%EV -13.97%E -4.13%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.92%EV -11.89%E -6.64%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.17%EV -11.88%E -3.41%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -7.46%E -3.97%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.92%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 10:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -11.39%E -6.33%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 14:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 14:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 14:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.60% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.92% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |