Language:English
FC Machida Zelvia v Urawa Red Diamonds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia (Local)
Prediction 50.20%1.99fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.75%50.26%50.19%52.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.831.9257.14%54.49%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit)
Prediction 22.87%4.37fair odd
EV +5.64%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.088%
assuming max odds 4.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.54%22.77%22.86%23.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.094.104.6226.67%24.45%24.39%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.93%3.71fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.846%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%26.97%26.95%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.303.6031.25%29.76%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Machida Zelvia (Local): 50.20%; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit): 22.87%; Draw: 26.93%. For Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.54%EV +5.64%E +1.22%K +1.56%G +0.088% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.59%EV -7.36%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -12.15%E -6.94%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.61%E -1.88%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.66%EV -2.36%E -0.554%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV -3.32%E -0.923%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 10:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -2.82%E -0.664%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -2.82%E -0.664%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -2.82%E -0.664%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -3.96%E -0.944%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.96%E -0.944%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.96%E -0.944%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.96%E -0.944%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 10:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.11%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.25%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 09:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.25%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 10:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.25%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 10:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.25%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.78%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.39%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -4.61%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.05%E -0.846%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 09:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 10:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -9.13%E -5.05%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.89%EV -9.00%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.65%EV -10.64%E -5.98%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -9.68%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.82%E -2.78%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 09:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.20%EV -10.64%E -5.98%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 10:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.25%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.25%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.25%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.25%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |