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FC Machida Zelvia v Urawa Red Diamonds

2026-08-23 10:30 UTC — J League

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Machida Zelvia (Local)

Prediction 53.06%1.88fair odd
EV -5.55%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -7.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.56%53.03%52.97%53.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.731.741.7860.98%57.92%57.47%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit)

Prediction 20.18%4.95fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -0.608%
Kelly -0.767%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.71%20.16%20.22%21.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.494.554.8125.00%22.29%21.98%20.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.75%3.74fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.794%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.06%26.82%26.81%27.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.403.403.6331.25%29.41%29.41%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Machida Zelvia (Local): 53.06%; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit): 20.18%; Draw: 26.75%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.63, with an expected value of -2.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.13%E -0.870%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.29%EV -2.88%E -0.794%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 12:24
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -4.13%E -0.870%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 11:45
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -6.08%E -3.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 11:49
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.87%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.71%EV -2.92%E -0.608%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.41%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 12:25
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.61%E -3.75%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:54
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -8.17%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:39
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 12:15
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 12:13
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 12:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 12:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.64%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -6.15%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.02%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 12:19
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 11:53
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 11:54
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.20%E -4.74%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -8.73%E -5.08%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 11:39
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -9.79%E -5.76%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -11.20%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 11:52
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -11.38%E -6.82%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -19.27%E -4.82%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -14.39%E -4.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-16 11:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.94%EV -11.91%E -7.18%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%EV -13.22%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-16 11:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.85%EV -11.91%E -7.18%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -13.22%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.75%EV -12.25%E -3.73%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-16 11:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.62%EV -11.91%E -7.18%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.30%EV -17.25%E -4.21%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-16 11:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.44%EV -12.98%E -7.91%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -19.27%E -4.82%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-16 11:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%4.17I 23.98%NM 21.21%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.38%13.1%2026-08-16 14:05
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 51.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.19%16.7%2026-08-16 11:40

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