Idioma:Español
FC Machida Zelvia v Urawa Red Diamonds
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Machida Zelvia (Local)
Predicción 50.20%1.99momio equitativo
EV -3.61%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -3.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.75%50.26%50.19%52.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.841.831.9257.14%54.49%54.64%52.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Urawa Red Diamonds (Visitante)
Predicción 22.87%4.37momio equitativo
EV +5.64%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.56%
Crecimiento +0.088%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.54%22.77%22.86%23.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.094.104.6226.67%24.45%24.39%21.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.93%3.71momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -0.846%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.09%26.97%26.95%28.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.363.303.6031.25%29.76%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Machida Zelvia (Local): 50.20%; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visitante): 22.87%; Empate: 26.93%. Para Urawa Red Diamonds (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.37. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.62, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.64%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.54%EV +5.64%E +1.22%K +1.56%G +0.088% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.59%EV -7.36%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -12.15%E -6.94%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.61%E -1.88%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.66%EV -2.36%E -0.554%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV -3.32%E -0.923%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 10:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -2.82%E -0.664%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -2.82%E -0.664%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -2.82%E -0.664%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -3.96%E -0.944%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.96%E -0.944%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.96%E -0.944%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.96%E -0.944%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 10:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.11%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.25%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 09:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.25%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 10:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.25%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 10:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.25%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.78%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.39%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -4.61%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.05%E -0.846%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 09:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 10:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -9.13%E -5.05%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.89%EV -9.00%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.65%EV -10.64%E -5.98%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -9.68%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.82%E -2.78%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 09:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.20%EV -10.64%E -5.98%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 10:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.25%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.25%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.25%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.25%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |