Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Machida Zelvia v Urawa Red Diamonds

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 10:30 UTC

Score final : FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Urawa Red Diamonds

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Machida Zelvia (Local)

Prévision 50.20%1.99cote équitable
EV -3.61%
Avantage -1.88%
Kelly -3.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.75%50.26%50.19%52.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.841.831.9257.14%54.49%54.64%52.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Urawa Red Diamonds (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.87%4.37cote équitable
EV +5.64%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.56%
Croissance +0.088%

avec la cote maximale 4.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.54%22.77%22.86%23.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.094.104.6226.67%24.45%24.39%21.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.93%3.71cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -0.846%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.09%26.97%26.95%28.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.363.303.6031.25%29.76%30.30%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Machida Zelvia (Local) : 50.20% ; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visiteur) : 22.87% ; Match nul : 26.93%. Pour Urawa Red Diamonds (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.37. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.62, soit une espérance positive de +5.64%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.54%EV +5.64%E +1.22%K +1.56%G +0.088%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.59%EV -7.36%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 10:20
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 10:05
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:05
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:05
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:05
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:05
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -12.15%E -6.94%K -16.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -1.68%E -0.390%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 09:40
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.61%E -1.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.66%EV -2.36%E -0.554%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV -3.32%E -0.923%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 10:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -2.82%E -0.664%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -2.82%E -0.664%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -2.82%E -0.664%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 10:05
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -3.96%E -0.944%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 10:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.96%E -0.944%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 10:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -4.11%E -2.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.96%E -0.944%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 10:10
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.96%E -0.944%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 10:13
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.11%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 10:25
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.25%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 09:55
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.25%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 10:19
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.25%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 10:15
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.25%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 10:25
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.78%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.39%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 10:10
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -4.61%E -2.43%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.05%E -0.846%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 10:10
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 10:05
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 09:54
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 10:05
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 10:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 10:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 10:05
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 10:09
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.54%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -9.13%E -5.05%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.89%EV -9.00%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.65%EV -10.64%E -5.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -9.68%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 10:10
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.82%E -2.78%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -11.97%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 10:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 10:25
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 09:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.20%EV -10.64%E -5.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 10:10
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.11%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 10:15
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.25%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.25%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.25%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:05
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.13%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.25%E -3.80%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-08-23 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-23 10:20
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-08-23 10:10
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-08-23 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-08-23 10:25
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-08-23 10:05