Language:English
FC Machida Zelvia v Kashiwa Reysol
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia (Local)
Prediction 39.74%2.52fair odd
EV -0.662%
Edge -0.265%
Kelly -0.441%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%39.54%39.77%41.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.372.362.5046.51%42.15%42.37%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kashiwa Reysol (Visit)
Prediction 32.06%3.12fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.831%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.09%32.28%32.03%34.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.802.803.0437.74%35.71%35.71%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.20%3.55fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.535%
Kelly -0.751%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.43%28.18%28.20%28.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.253.253.4832.26%30.78%30.77%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Machida Zelvia (Local): 39.74%; Kashiwa Reysol (Visit): 32.06%; Draw: 28.20%. For FC Machida Zelvia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.662%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -0.662%E -0.265%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 07:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -0.662%E -0.265%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 07:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 07:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 07:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 07:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 07:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 07:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 07:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.12%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 03:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 07:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 07:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 07:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.34%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -2.53%E -0.831%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.82%EV -1.86%E -0.535%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 07:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 07:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 07:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.70%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.67%EV -6.66%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-20 07:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-20 07:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -5.83%E -2.46%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-20 07:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -5.83%E -2.46%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-20 07:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.47%EV -6.22%E -2.64%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.84%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -2.71%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 07:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.47%EV -6.22%E -2.64%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.84%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -2.71%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 07:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.53%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 07:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 07:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 07:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 07:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 07:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 07:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-20 07:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.79%EV -7.02%E -3.00%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.00%EV -6.69%E -2.30%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 07:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -7.81%E -3.37%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 07:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -7.81%E -3.37%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 07:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 07:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 07:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 07:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 07:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 07:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 07:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 07:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-20 07:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-20 07:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-20 07:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-20 07:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.02%EV -11.39%E -5.11%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.65%EV -9.58%E -3.40%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -11.17%E -3.55%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 07:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -14.57%E -6.78%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-20 07:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 07:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 07:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 07:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 07:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 07:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10% | 1.7% | 2026-09-20 07:55 |