赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

FC Machida Zelvia v Kashiwa Reysol

开赛时间： 2026-09-20 08:00 UTC

最终结果： FC Machida Zelvia 2–4 Kashiwa Reysol

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Machida Zelvia (主队)

预测 39.74%2.52公平赔率
EV -0.662%
优势 -0.265%
Kelly -0.441%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
37.05%39.54%39.77%41.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.372.362.5046.51%42.15%42.37%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kashiwa Reysol (客队)

预测 32.06%3.12公平赔率
EV -2.53%
优势 -0.831%
Kelly -1.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.04

博彩公司预测分布
31.09%32.28%32.03%34.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.802.803.0437.74%35.71%35.71%32.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.20%3.55公平赔率
EV -1.86%
优势 -0.535%
Kelly -0.751%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.48

博彩公司预测分布
27.43%28.18%28.20%28.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.253.253.4832.26%30.78%30.77%28.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：FC Machida Zelvia (主队)：39.74%；Kashiwa Reysol (客队)：32.06%；平局：28.20%。 对于“FC Machida Zelvia (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.52。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.50，期望值为-0.662%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -0.662%E -0.265%K -0.441%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 07:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -0.662%E -0.265%K -0.441%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 07:05
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 08:00
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:04
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:05
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:04
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:05
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:05
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.12%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 03:34
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 07:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 07:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 07:04
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.34%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -2.53%E -0.831%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.82%EV -1.86%E -0.535%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 07:45
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 07:54
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:35
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.70%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.67%EV -6.66%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 07:14
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 07:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -5.83%E -2.46%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 07:14
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -5.83%E -2.46%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 07:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.47%EV -6.22%E -2.64%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.84%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -2.71%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 07:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.47%EV -6.22%E -2.64%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.84%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -2.71%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 07:55
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.53%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 07:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 07:39
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 07:39
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 07:39
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 07:54
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 07:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 07:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.79%EV -7.02%E -3.00%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.00%EV -6.69%E -2.30%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 07:55
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -7.81%E -3.37%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:39
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -7.81%E -3.37%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:38
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 07:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 07:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 07:45
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 07:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 07:44
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 07:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 07:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 07:39
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 07:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 07:39
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 07:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.02%EV -11.39%E -5.11%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.65%EV -9.58%E -3.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -11.17%E -3.55%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 07:43
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -14.57%E -6.78%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 07:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-09-20 07:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-09-20 07:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-09-20 07:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-09-20 07:39
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-09-20 07:39
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%1.7%2026-09-20 07:55