L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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FC Machida Zelvia v Kashiwa Reysol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 08:00 UTC

Score final : FC Machida Zelvia 2–4 Kashiwa Reysol

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Machida Zelvia (Local)

Prévision 39.74%2.52cote équitable
EV -0.662%
Avantage -0.265%
Kelly -0.441%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.05%39.54%39.77%41.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.372.362.5046.51%42.15%42.37%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kashiwa Reysol (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.06%3.12cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -0.831%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.09%32.28%32.03%34.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.652.802.803.0437.74%35.71%35.71%32.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.20%3.55cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.535%
Kelly -0.751%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.43%28.18%28.20%28.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.253.253.4832.26%30.78%30.77%28.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Machida Zelvia (Local) : 39.74% ; Kashiwa Reysol (Visiteur) : 32.06% ; Match nul : 28.20%. Pour FC Machida Zelvia (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.52. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.50, pour une espérance de -0.662% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -0.662%E -0.265%K -0.441%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 07:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -0.662%E -0.265%K -0.441%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 07:05
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 08:00
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:04
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:05
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:04
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:05
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:05
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.12%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 03:34
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 07:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 07:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 07:04
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.34%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -2.53%E -0.831%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.82%EV -1.86%E -0.535%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 07:45
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 07:54
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:35
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.70%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.67%EV -6.66%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 07:14
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 07:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -5.83%E -2.46%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 07:14
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -5.83%E -2.46%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 07:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.47%EV -6.22%E -2.64%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.84%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -2.71%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 07:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.47%EV -6.22%E -2.64%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.84%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -2.71%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 07:55
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.53%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 07:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 07:39
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 07:39
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 07:39
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 07:54
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 07:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 07:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.79%EV -7.02%E -3.00%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.00%EV -6.69%E -2.30%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 07:55
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -7.81%E -3.37%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:39
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -7.81%E -3.37%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:38
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 07:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 07:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 07:45
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 07:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 07:44
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 07:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 07:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 07:39
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 07:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 07:39
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 07:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.02%EV -11.39%E -5.11%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.65%EV -9.58%E -3.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -11.17%E -3.55%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 07:43
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -14.57%E -6.78%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 07:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-09-20 07:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-09-20 07:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-09-20 07:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-09-20 07:39
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-09-20 07:39
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%1.7%2026-09-20 07:55