Language:English
Avispa Fukuoka v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka (Local)
Prediction 20.61%4.85fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.228%
Kelly -0.287%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.13%20.48%20.61%24.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.474.504.8025.64%22.36%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visit)
Prediction 55.23%1.81fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +2.56%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.82%55.27%55.21%57.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.701.8562.11%59.27%58.82%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.16%4.14fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.711%
Kelly -0.946%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.61%24.25%24.18%25.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.733.704.0228.17%26.80%27.03%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avispa Fukuoka (Local): 20.61%; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visit): 55.23%; Draw: 24.16%. For Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -19.64%E -5.04%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV +2.17%E +1.18%K +2.56%G +0.056% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -4.39%E -0.946%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.46%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.87%EV -2.86%E -0.711%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 09:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.25%EV -2.74%E -0.581%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.51%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 09:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 12:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.34%E -0.835%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 10:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 10:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.12%E -0.447%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.34%E -0.835%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 12:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 09:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-17 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-17 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-17 11:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-17 11:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 10:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 04:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -1.09%E -0.228%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 12:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-17 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.03%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -6.97%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 09:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -2.12%E -0.447%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-18 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-18 04:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-18 04:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-18 04:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-18 04:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.71%EV -9.42%E -5.75%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -1.09%E -0.228%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 09:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-17 12:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -10.36%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.17%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.29%EV -11.07%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-17 11:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-17 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -1.09%E -0.228%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-17 12:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.20%EV -8.30%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.83%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-18 09:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.72% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.72% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.72% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.72% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30% | 2.9% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |