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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Avispa Fukuoka v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Início: 2026-09-19 09:00 UTC

Final: Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Avispa Fukuoka (Local)

Previsão 20.61%4.85odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.228%
Kelly -0.287%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.13%20.48%20.61%24.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.474.504.8025.64%22.36%22.22%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visitante)

Previsão 55.23%1.81odd justa
EV +2.17%
Vantagem +1.18%
Kelly +2.56%
Crescimento +0.056%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.82%55.27%55.21%57.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.611.691.701.8562.11%59.27%58.82%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.16%4.14odd justa
EV -2.86%
Vantagem -0.711%
Kelly -0.946%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.61%24.25%24.18%25.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.553.733.704.0228.17%26.80%27.03%24.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Avispa Fukuoka (Local): 20.61%; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visitante): 55.23%; Empate: 24.16%. Para Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.81. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.17%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -19.64%E -5.04%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV +2.17%E +1.18%K +2.56%G +0.056%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-16 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 10:30
Pinnacle🎯4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -4.39%E -0.946%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.46%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.87%EV -2.86%E -0.711%K -0.946%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 09:25
1xBet🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.25%EV -2.74%E -0.581%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.51%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:19
BetOnline.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 12:15
LowVig.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 12:15
BetAnything🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 12:20
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 10:30
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.34%E -0.835%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 09:05
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:29
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:30
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:30
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:29
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:29
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:30
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.12%E -0.447%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.34%E -0.835%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 12:39
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 09:18
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 11:40
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 11:35
William Hill🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 11:36
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 10:29
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 10:30
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 04:30
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 09:15
Betsson🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 11:40
NordicBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 11:40
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -1.09%E -0.228%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 12:39
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.03%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -6.97%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 09:10
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -2.12%E -0.447%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 10:30
Betr (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 04:29
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 04:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 04:30
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 04:30
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.71%EV -9.42%E -5.75%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 09:10
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -1.09%E -0.228%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 09:05
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 12:39
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 11:40
Betclic (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -10.36%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.17%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.29%EV -11.07%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 11:39
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-17 12:40
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -1.09%E -0.228%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 12:38
Unibet (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.20%EV -8.30%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.83%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 09:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38%2.6%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38%2.6%2026-09-18 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38%2.6%2026-09-18 14:40
Matchbook◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38%2.6%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%2.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-09-18 15:25