L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Avispa Fukuoka v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 09:00 UTC

Score final : Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Avispa Fukuoka (Local)

Prévision 20.61%4.85cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.228%
Kelly -0.287%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.13%20.48%20.61%24.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.474.504.8025.64%22.36%22.22%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.23%1.81cote équitable
EV +2.17%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +2.56%
Croissance +0.056%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.82%55.27%55.21%57.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.691.701.8562.11%59.27%58.82%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.16%4.14cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.711%
Kelly -0.946%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.61%24.25%24.18%25.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.733.704.0228.17%26.80%27.03%24.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Avispa Fukuoka (Local) : 20.61% ; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visiteur) : 55.23% ; Match nul : 24.16%. Pour Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.81. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.85, soit une espérance positive de +2.17%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -19.64%E -5.04%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV +2.17%E +1.18%K +2.56%G +0.056%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-16 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 10:30
Pinnacle🎯4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -4.39%E -0.946%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.46%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.87%EV -2.86%E -0.711%K -0.946%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 09:25
1xBet🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.25%EV -2.74%E -0.581%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.51%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:19
BetOnline.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 12:15
LowVig.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 12:15
BetAnything🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 12:20
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 10:30
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.34%E -0.835%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 09:05
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:29
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:30
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:30
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:29
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:29
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:30
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.12%E -0.447%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.34%E -0.835%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 12:39
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 09:18
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 11:40
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 11:35
William Hill🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 11:36
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 10:29
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 10:30
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 04:30
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 09:15
Betsson🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 11:40
NordicBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 11:40
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -1.09%E -0.228%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 12:39
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.03%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -6.97%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 09:10
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -2.12%E -0.447%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 10:30
Betr (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 04:29
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 04:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 04:30
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 04:30
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.71%EV -9.42%E -5.75%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 09:10
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -1.09%E -0.228%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 09:05
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 12:39
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 11:40
Betclic (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -10.36%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.17%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.29%EV -11.07%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 11:39
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-17 12:40
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -1.09%E -0.228%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -5.76%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 12:38
Unibet (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.20%EV -8.30%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.83%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -9.38%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 09:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38%2.6%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38%2.6%2026-09-18 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38%2.6%2026-09-18 14:40
Matchbook◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.90%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38%2.6%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%2.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-09-18 15:25