Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virtus Entella v Vicenza

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 13:01 UTC

Final: Virtus Entella 2–2 Vicenza

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virtus Entella (Local)

Prediction 44.48%2.25fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.34%44.47%44.46%45.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.072.102.1952.08%48.34%47.62%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vicenza (Visit)

Prediction 25.32%3.95fair odd
EV +0.023%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%25.35%25.34%26.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.603.9530.30%27.91%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.20%3.31fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -0.826%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.55%30.18%30.20%31.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.053.2535.71%32.80%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virtus Entella (Local): 44.48%; Vicenza (Visit): 25.32%; Draw: 30.20%. For Vicenza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.949. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.950, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.023%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.14%EV -2.59%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +0.023%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.39%EV -6.99%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -1.24%E -0.319%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.30%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -2.51%E -0.652%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.30%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -2.51%E -0.652%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 12:55
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.84%EV -3.97%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 12:50
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 12:35
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.84%EV -7.48%E -3.60%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -5.80%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:29
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 12:55
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.48%E -3.60%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 12:50
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 12:30
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.18%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.01%EV -11.82%E -4.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 12:35
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -1.86%E -0.572%K -0.826%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 12:40
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:54
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 12:55
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 12:30
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:45
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:45
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -13.03%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -13.03%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 12:50
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 12:25
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 12:40
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:30
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 12:55
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -13.03%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 12:50
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -13.26%E -6.80%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.69%EV -14.60%E -7.60%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 12:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.00%EV -11.93%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -15.45%E -5.52%K -8.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-06 12:54
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.24%EV -9.26%E -4.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 12:30
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 12:54
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -10.15%E -5.02%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 12:55
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.44%E -4.98%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 12:25
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.44%E -4.98%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.44%E -4.98%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.44%EV -14.15%E -7.33%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -16.44%E -4.98%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.57%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-06 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-06 12:55
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-06 12:45
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.84%2.9%2026-09-06 12:50