Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Virtus Entella v Vicenza

Inicio: 2026-09-06 13:01 UTC

Final: Virtus Entella 2–2 Vicenza

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Virtus Entella (Local)

Predicción 44.48%2.25momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.34%44.47%44.46%45.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.922.072.102.1952.08%48.34%47.62%45.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Vicenza (Visitante)

Predicción 25.32%3.95momio equitativo
EV +0.023%
Ventaja +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.53%25.35%25.34%26.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.583.603.9530.30%27.91%27.78%25.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 30.20%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -0.572%
Kelly -0.826%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.55%30.18%30.20%31.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.053.053.2535.71%32.80%32.79%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Virtus Entella (Local): 44.48%; Vicenza (Visitante): 25.32%; Empate: 30.20%. Para Vicenza (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.949. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.950, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.023%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.14%EV -2.59%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +0.023%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.39%EV -6.99%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -1.24%E -0.319%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.30%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -2.51%E -0.652%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.30%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -2.51%E -0.652%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 12:55
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.84%EV -3.97%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 12:50
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 12:35
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.84%EV -7.48%E -3.60%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -5.80%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:29
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 12:55
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.48%E -3.60%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 12:50
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 12:30
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.18%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.01%EV -11.82%E -4.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 12:35
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -1.86%E -0.572%K -0.826%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 12:40
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:54
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 12:55
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 12:30
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:45
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:45
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -13.03%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -13.03%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 12:50
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 12:25
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 12:40
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:30
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 12:55
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -13.03%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 12:50
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -13.26%E -6.80%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.69%EV -14.60%E -7.60%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 12:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.00%EV -11.93%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -15.45%E -5.52%K -8.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-06 12:54
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.24%EV -9.26%E -4.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 12:30
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 12:54
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -10.15%E -5.02%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 12:55
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.44%E -4.98%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 12:25
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.44%E -4.98%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.44%E -4.98%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.44%EV -14.15%E -7.33%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -16.44%E -4.98%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.57%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-06 12:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-06 12:55
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-06 12:45
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.84%2.9%2026-09-06 12:50