Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Virtus Entella v Vicenza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 13:01 UTC

Score final : Virtus Entella 2–2 Vicenza

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Virtus Entella (Local)

Prévision 44.48%2.25cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.34%44.47%44.46%45.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.922.072.102.1952.08%48.34%47.62%45.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Vicenza (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.32%3.95cote équitable
EV +0.023%
Avantage +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.53%25.35%25.34%26.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.583.603.9530.30%27.91%27.78%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.20%3.31cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.572%
Kelly -0.826%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.55%30.18%30.20%31.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.053.2535.71%32.80%32.79%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Virtus Entella (Local) : 44.48% ; Vicenza (Visiteur) : 25.32% ; Match nul : 30.20%. Pour Vicenza (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.949. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.950, soit une espérance positive de +0.023%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.14%EV -2.59%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +0.023%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.39%EV -6.99%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -1.24%E -0.319%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.30%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -2.51%E -0.652%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.30%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -2.51%E -0.652%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 12:55
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.84%EV -3.97%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 12:50
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 12:35
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.84%EV -7.48%E -3.60%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -5.80%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:29
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 12:55
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.48%E -3.60%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 12:50
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 12:30
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.18%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.01%EV -11.82%E -4.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 12:35
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -1.86%E -0.572%K -0.826%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 12:40
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:55
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:54
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 12:55
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 12:30
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:45
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:45
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -13.03%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -13.03%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 12:50
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 12:25
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 12:40
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:30
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 12:55
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -13.03%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 12:50
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -13.26%E -6.80%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.69%EV -14.60%E -7.60%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 12:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.00%EV -11.93%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -15.45%E -5.52%K -8.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-06 12:54
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.24%EV -9.26%E -4.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 12:30
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 12:54
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -10.15%E -5.02%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 12:55
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.44%E -4.98%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 12:25
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.44%E -4.98%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -16.44%E -4.98%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.44%EV -14.15%E -7.33%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -16.44%E -4.98%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.57%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-06 12:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-06 12:55
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-06 12:45
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.84%2.9%2026-09-06 12:50