Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.95
assuming max odds 4.59
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virtus Entella (Local): 50.03%; Cesena FC (Visit): 22.15%; Draw: 27.83%. For Cesena FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.29%EV -5.95%E -3.17%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.01%EV +1.65%E +0.359%K +0.459%G +0.008% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.71%EV -3.15%E -0.906%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -2.56%E -0.582%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 16:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 16:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -5.95%E -3.17%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.60%E -0.742%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.91%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.50%EV -7.33%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.44%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 16:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -8.10%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -8.10%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -6.95%E -3.74%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.20%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.20%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 16:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.20%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -9.20%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -9.20%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.81%EV -11.46%E -6.47%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -9.20%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.88%EV -12.46%E -7.12%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -9.20%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.75%EV -10.45%E -5.84%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.99%EV -10.31%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -7.95%E -4.32%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.75%EV -12.96%E -7.45%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.75%EV -12.96%E -7.45%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -12.46%E -7.12%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 16:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -12.96%E -7.45%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -6.95%E -3.74%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.58%EV -12.46%E -7.12%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.97%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.45%EV -15.12%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 16:46 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 50.91%EV -15.96%E -9.50%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-08-29 16:55 |