Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Virtus Entella v Cesena FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 17:01 UTC

Score final : Virtus Entella 1–2 Cesena FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Virtus Entella (Local)

Prévision 50.03%2.00cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -2.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.09%50.00%50.03%51.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.831.831.9559.52%54.60%54.64%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cesena FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.15%4.52cote équitable
EV +1.65%
Avantage +0.359%
Kelly +0.459%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.01%22.16%22.19%23.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.144.184.5925.64%24.14%23.95%21.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.83%3.59cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.742%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.97%27.84%27.78%29.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.293.303.5032.79%30.38%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Virtus Entella (Local) : 50.03% ; Cesena FC (Visiteur) : 22.15% ; Match nul : 27.83%. Pour Cesena FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.52. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.59, soit une espérance positive de +1.65%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.29%EV -5.95%E -3.17%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.01%EV +1.65%E +0.359%K +0.459%G +0.008%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.71%EV -3.15%E -0.906%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -2.56%E -0.582%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 16:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 16:35
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:44
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:35
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:35
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:35
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -4.78%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -5.95%E -3.17%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.60%E -0.742%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:45
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.91%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.50%EV -7.33%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.44%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:34
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 16:55
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:40
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -8.10%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -8.10%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:45
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -6.95%E -3.74%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.20%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 16:45
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.20%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:34
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.20%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:35
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -9.20%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -9.20%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.81%EV -11.46%E -6.47%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -9.20%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.88%EV -12.46%E -7.12%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -9.20%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.75%EV -10.45%E -5.84%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.99%EV -10.31%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 16:45
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -7.95%E -4.32%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 16:45
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.75%EV -12.96%E -7.45%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.75%EV -12.96%E -7.45%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -12.46%E -7.12%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -12.96%E -7.45%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 16:35
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -6.95%E -3.74%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.58%EV -12.46%E -7.12%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.97%EV -12.53%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.45%EV -15.12%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-29 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 16:46
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 16:35
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 16:35
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 50.91%EV -15.96%E -9.50%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-29 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-08-29 16:55
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-08-29 16:50
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-08-29 16:55