Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.40
assuming max odds 8.27
assuming max odds 5.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Venezia (Local): 68.45%; Empoli (Visit): 12.47%; Draw: 19.08%. For Empoli (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.16%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.11%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 8.27I 12.09%NM 11.44%EV +3.16%E +0.383%K +0.435%G +0.014% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.45%EV -2.14%E -0.416%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 15:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -0.205%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV +0.153%E +0.029%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 05:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.58%EV -8.28%E -6.18%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -2.70%E -0.346%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -3.66%E -0.725%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 12:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.08%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -2.70%E -0.346%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -5.54%E -4.02%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV -3.32%E -0.429%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.37%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -3.32%E -0.429%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.54%EV -3.66%E -0.725%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.43%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.92%EV -3.32%E -0.429%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -5.57%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 15:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.43%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.92%EV -3.32%E -0.429%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -5.57%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -4.86%E -3.49%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.61%EV -5.19%E -0.683%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.43%EV -0.800%E -0.154%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.23%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 15:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.52%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.65%E -7.31%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.71%E -0.531%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -8.28%E -6.18%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 11:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-20 18:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-20 18:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-20 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -10.18%E -1.41%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -10.18%E -1.41%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.01%EV -11.43%E -1.61%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.01%EV -11.43%E -1.61%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -6.23%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.86%EV -8.28%E -6.18%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.86%EV -8.28%E -6.18%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 15:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -9.65%E -7.31%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.27%EV -11.70%E -9.07%K -40.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.15%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.19%EV -11.02%E -8.47%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -23.69%E -5.92%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.59%EV -9.65%E -7.31%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -15.80%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.19%EV -11.29%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.84%EV -12.39%E -9.68%K -44.23%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.86%EV -15.80%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.55%EV -10.33%E -7.89%K -33.33%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.21%EV -16.42%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.24%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 12:33 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-20 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.12%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -22.03%E -3.53%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.42%EV -11.02%E -8.47%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.30% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.35% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.35% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.35% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.73% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.03% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24% | 3.9% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |