La escuela de los momios

Venezia v Empoli

Inicio: 2026-04-25 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Venezia (Local)

Predicción 68.45%1.46momio equitativo
EV -4.17%
Ventaja -2.98%
Kelly -10.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.51%68.38%68.51%70.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.341.351.4078.13%74.42%74.07%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empoli (Visitante)

Predicción 12.47%8.02momio equitativo
EV +3.16%
Ventaja +0.383%
Kelly +0.435%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.44%12.57%12.40%14.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.227.508.2716.67%13.84%13.33%12.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.08%5.24momio equitativo
EV +0.153%
Ventaja +0.029%
Kelly +0.036%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.03%19.04%19.10%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.764.785.2525.00%21.00%20.94%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 70.11%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%8.27I 12.09%NM 11.44%EV +3.16%E +0.383%K +0.435%G +0.014%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.45%EV -2.14%E -0.416%K -0.517%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:34
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -0.205%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV +0.153%E +0.029%K +0.036%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 05:30
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.58%EV -8.28%E -6.18%K -24.35%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -2.70%E -0.346%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -3.66%E -0.725%K -0.904%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:09
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.08%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -2.70%E -0.346%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 15:20
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -5.54%E -4.02%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV -3.32%E -0.429%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:24
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.37%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -3.32%E -0.429%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.54%EV -3.66%E -0.725%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:14
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 69.43%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.92%EV -3.32%E -0.429%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -5.57%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:18
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 69.43%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.92%EV -3.32%E -0.429%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -5.57%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:19
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -4.86%E -3.49%K -12.45%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.61%EV -5.19%E -0.683%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.43%EV -0.800%E -0.154%K -0.191%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 10:45
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.23%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:19
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.52%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 12:40
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 15:24
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.65%E -7.31%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.71%E -0.531%K -0.661%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -8.28%E -6.18%K -24.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:30
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 18:10
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 11:38
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 18:04
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 18:04
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 18:04
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -10.18%E -1.41%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -10.18%E -1.41%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 18:00
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.01%EV -11.43%E -1.61%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:44
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.01%EV -11.43%E -1.61%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:45
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:34
theScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -6.23%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:24
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 15:24
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:24
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.86%EV -8.28%E -6.18%K -24.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.86%EV -8.28%E -6.18%K -24.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:30
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 15:25
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 15:23
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 15:25
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -9.65%E -7.31%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 00:30
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.27%EV -11.70%E -9.07%K -40.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.15%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.19%EV -11.02%E -8.47%K -36.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -23.69%E -5.92%K -7.90%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 15:24
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.59%EV -9.65%E -7.31%K -30.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -15.80%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.19%EV -11.29%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 15:19
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 67.84%EV -12.39%E -9.68%K -44.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.86%EV -15.80%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-24 01:50
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 67.55%EV -10.33%E -7.89%K -33.33%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.21%EV -16.42%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.24%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 15:20
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 01:50
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 12:40
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 12:33
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 15:24
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-20 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.12%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -22.03%E -3.53%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 10:44
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.42%EV -11.02%E -8.47%K -36.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 10:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.30%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79%2.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.35%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%3.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.35%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%3.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.35%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%3.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 68.73%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.03%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%3.9%2026-04-24 01:55