L’École des cotes

Venezia v Empoli

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Venezia (Local)

Prévision 68.45%1.46cote équitable
EV -4.17%
Avantage -2.98%
Kelly -10.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.51%68.38%68.51%70.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.341.351.4078.13%74.42%74.07%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Empoli (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.47%8.02cote équitable
EV +3.16%
Avantage +0.383%
Kelly +0.435%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 8.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.44%12.57%12.40%14.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.227.508.2716.67%13.84%13.33%12.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.08%5.24cote équitable
EV +0.153%
Avantage +0.029%
Kelly +0.036%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.03%19.04%19.10%21.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.764.785.2525.00%21.00%20.94%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 70.11%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%8.27I 12.09%NM 11.44%EV +3.16%E +0.383%K +0.435%G +0.014%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.45%EV -2.14%E -0.416%K -0.517%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:34
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -0.205%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV +0.153%E +0.029%K +0.036%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 05:30
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.58%EV -8.28%E -6.18%K -24.35%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -2.70%E -0.346%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -3.66%E -0.725%K -0.904%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:09
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.08%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -2.70%E -0.346%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 15:20
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -5.54%E -4.02%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV -3.32%E -0.429%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:24
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.37%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -3.32%E -0.429%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.54%EV -3.66%E -0.725%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:14
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 69.43%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.92%EV -3.32%E -0.429%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -5.57%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:18
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 69.43%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.92%EV -3.32%E -0.429%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -5.57%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:19
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -4.86%E -3.49%K -12.45%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.61%EV -5.19%E -0.683%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.43%EV -0.800%E -0.154%K -0.191%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 10:45
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.23%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:19
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.52%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 12:40
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 15:24
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:30
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.65%E -7.31%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.71%E -0.531%K -0.661%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -8.28%E -6.18%K -24.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:30
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 18:10
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 11:38
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 18:04
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 18:04
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.44%E -0.859%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 18:04
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -10.18%E -1.41%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -10.18%E -1.41%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 18:00
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.01%EV -11.43%E -1.61%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:44
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.01%EV -11.43%E -1.61%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:45
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:34
theScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -6.23%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:24
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 15:24
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:24
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.86%EV -8.28%E -6.18%K -24.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.86%EV -8.28%E -6.18%K -24.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:30
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 15:25
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 15:23
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -7.59%E -5.63%K -21.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 15:25
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -9.65%E -7.31%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 00:30
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.27%EV -11.70%E -9.07%K -40.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.15%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.19%EV -11.02%E -8.47%K -36.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -23.69%E -5.92%K -7.90%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 15:24
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.59%EV -9.65%E -7.31%K -30.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -15.80%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.19%EV -11.29%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 15:19
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 67.84%EV -12.39%E -9.68%K -44.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.86%EV -15.80%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-24 01:50
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 67.55%EV -10.33%E -7.89%K -33.33%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.21%EV -16.42%E -2.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.24%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 15:20
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 01:50
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 12:40
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 12:33
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 15:24
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -18.92%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-20 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.12%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -22.03%E -3.53%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 10:44
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.42%EV -11.02%E -8.47%K -36.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 10:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.30%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79%2.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.35%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%3.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.35%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%3.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.35%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%3.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 68.73%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.03%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%3.9%2026-04-24 01:55