A Escola das Odds

Venezia v Avellino

Início: 2026-03-03 19:04 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Venezia (Local)

Previsão 70.24%1.42odd justa
EV -4.47%
Vantagem -3.29%
Kelly -12.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.31%70.07%70.27%71.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.191.321.331.3684.03%75.53%75.19%73.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Avellino (Visitante)

Previsão 10.68%9.36odd justa
EV +6.50%
Vantagem +0.652%
Kelly +0.725%
Crescimento +0.047%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.64%10.76%10.60%12.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.008.318.259.9714.29%12.03%12.12%10.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 19.08%5.24odd justa
EV -0.794%
Vantagem -0.153%
Kelly -0.189%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.23%19.17%19.13%20.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.704.605.2023.81%21.28%21.74%19.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.21%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000%9.97I 10.03%NM 9.64%EV +6.50%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.15%EV -4.23%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 18:59
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.97%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +1.48%E +0.156%K +0.174%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 18:59
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +1.48%E +0.156%K +0.174%G +0.003%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:01
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +1.48%E +0.156%K +0.174%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.42%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 19:00
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.42%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:01
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 19:01
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.50%EV -7.99%E -6.10%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 19:01
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.36%EV -7.99%E -6.10%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:59
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:59
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:59
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:01
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 19:01
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-03 19:00
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.16%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.60%EV -6.00%E -0.681%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -7.47%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 18:59
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 69.85%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.54%EV -6.53%E -0.746%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:59
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.75%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.29%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.02%EV -8.13%E -0.946%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.23%EV -0.794%E -0.153%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 19:01
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 69.92%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 18:53
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 69.93%EV -7.99%E -6.10%K -25.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 18:59
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.50%EV -7.99%E -6.10%K -25.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 19:00
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 69.91%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.29%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -11.87%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 19:00
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.44%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.94%EV -11.87%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 18:59
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.28%EV -12.41%E -1.51%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -5.56%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.28%EV -12.41%E -1.51%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -5.56%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 18:58
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:01
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.43%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -17.96%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-03 19:01
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 70.07%EV -13.61%E -11.06%K -59.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.77%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.15%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-03 18:58
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 69.83%EV -16.41%E -13.79%K -86.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.39%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.78%EV -19.87%E -4.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-03 18:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.22%EV -11.50%E -9.13%K -44.22%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.34%EV -16.68%E -2.14%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.43%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-03 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.70%EV -10.09%E -7.89%K -36.05%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.51%EV -17.21%E -2.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-03 18:59
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 18:54
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:01
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 19:01
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-03 19:00
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -25.22%E -3.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-03 19:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (2)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.33%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.37%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 71.02%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%3.5%2026-03-03 19:00