L’École des cotes

Venezia v Avellino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-03 19:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Venezia (Local)

Prévision 70.24%1.42cote équitable
EV -4.47%
Avantage -3.29%
Kelly -12.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.31%70.07%70.27%71.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.321.331.3684.03%75.53%75.19%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Avellino (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.68%9.36cote équitable
EV +6.50%
Avantage +0.652%
Kelly +0.725%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 9.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.64%10.76%10.60%12.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.008.318.259.9714.29%12.03%12.12%10.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.08%5.24cote équitable
EV -0.794%
Avantage -0.153%
Kelly -0.189%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.23%19.17%19.13%20.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.704.605.2023.81%21.28%21.74%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.21%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000%9.97I 10.03%NM 9.64%EV +6.50%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.15%EV -4.23%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 18:59
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.97%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +1.48%E +0.156%K +0.174%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 18:59
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +1.48%E +0.156%K +0.174%G +0.003%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:01
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +1.48%E +0.156%K +0.174%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.42%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 19:00
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.42%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:01
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 19:01
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.50%EV -7.99%E -6.10%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 19:01
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.36%EV -7.99%E -6.10%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:59
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:59
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:59
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:01
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 19:01
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-03 19:00
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.16%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.60%EV -6.00%E -0.681%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -7.47%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 18:59
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 69.85%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.54%EV -6.53%E -0.746%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:59
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.75%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.29%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.02%EV -8.13%E -0.946%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.23%EV -0.794%E -0.153%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 19:01
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 69.92%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 18:53
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 69.93%EV -7.99%E -6.10%K -25.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 18:59
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.50%EV -7.99%E -6.10%K -25.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 19:00
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 69.91%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.29%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -11.87%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 19:00
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.44%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.94%EV -11.87%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 18:59
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.28%EV -12.41%E -1.51%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -5.56%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.28%EV -12.41%E -1.51%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -5.56%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 18:58
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:01
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.43%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -17.96%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-03 19:01
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 70.07%EV -13.61%E -11.06%K -59.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.77%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.15%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-03 18:58
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 69.83%EV -16.41%E -13.79%K -86.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.39%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.78%EV -19.87%E -4.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-03 18:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.22%EV -11.50%E -9.13%K -44.22%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.34%EV -16.68%E -2.14%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.43%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-03 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.70%EV -10.09%E -7.89%K -36.05%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.51%EV -17.21%E -2.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-03 18:59
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 18:54
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:01
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 19:01
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-03 19:00
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -25.22%E -3.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-03 19:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.33%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.37%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 71.02%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%3.5%2026-03-03 19:00