La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Venezia v Avellino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Venezia (Local)
Predicción 70.24%1.42momio equitativo
EV -4.47%
Ventaja -3.29%
Kelly -12.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.31%70.07%70.27%71.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.321.331.3684.03%75.53%75.19%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Avellino (Visitante)
Predicción 10.68%9.36momio equitativo
EV +6.50%
Ventaja +0.652%
Kelly +0.725%
Crecimiento +0.047%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.64%10.76%10.60%12.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.008.318.259.9714.29%12.03%12.12%10.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.08%5.24momio equitativo
EV -0.794%
Ventaja -0.153%
Kelly -0.189%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.23%19.17%19.13%20.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.704.605.2023.81%21.28%21.74%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.21%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 9.97I 10.03%NM 9.64%EV +6.50%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.15%EV -4.23%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.97%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +1.48%E +0.156%K +0.174%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +1.48%E +0.156%K +0.174%G +0.003% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +1.48%E +0.156%K +0.174%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.42%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.42%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.50%EV -7.99%E -6.10%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.36%EV -7.99%E -6.10%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -3.86%E -0.429%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.16%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.60%EV -6.00%E -0.681%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -7.47%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.85%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.54%EV -6.53%E -0.746%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.75%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.02%EV -8.13%E -0.946%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.23%EV -0.794%E -0.153%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.92%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-03 18:53 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.93%EV -7.99%E -6.10%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.50%EV -7.99%E -6.10%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -9.20%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.91%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -11.87%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.44%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.94%EV -11.87%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.28%EV -12.41%E -1.51%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -5.56%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -7.28%E -5.52%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.28%EV -12.41%E -1.51%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -5.56%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 18:58 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.61%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.43%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -17.96%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 70.07%EV -13.61%E -11.06%K -59.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.77%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.15%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-03 18:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 69.83%EV -16.41%E -13.79%K -86.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.39%EV -14.54%E -1.82%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.78%EV -19.87%E -4.73%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.22%EV -11.50%E -9.13%K -44.22%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.34%EV -16.68%E -2.14%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.43%EV -8.42%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.70%EV -10.09%E -7.89%K -36.05%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.51%EV -17.21%E -2.22%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -5.18%E -3.83%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -19.88%E -2.65%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -9.38%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -25.22%E -3.60%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.15%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.33% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.02% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32% | 3.5% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |