默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

US Catanzaro 1929 v Modena

开赛时间: 2026-04-14 17:00 UTC

最终结果: US Catanzaro 1929 2–2 Modena

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

US Catanzaro 1929 (主队)

预测 38.81%2.58公平赔率
EV -2.97%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -1.98%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
36.46%38.69%38.77%39.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.82%41.67%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Modena (客队)

预测 32.60%3.07公平赔率
EV -1.54%
优势 -0.511%
Kelly -0.764%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.02

博彩公司预测分布
30.89%32.71%32.61%35.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.762.753.0240.00%36.21%36.36%33.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.59%3.50公平赔率
EV -2.80%
优势 -0.824%
Kelly -1.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.68%28.61%28.62%30.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.45%31.25%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:US Catanzaro 1929 (主队):38.81%;Modena (客队):32.60%;平局:28.59%。 对于“Modena (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.07。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.02,期望值为-1.54%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.80%E -0.824%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 16:45
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 16:45
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 16:45
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.33%EV -4.53%E -1.84%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -1.54%E -0.511%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.63%EV -3.37%E -0.998%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 16:45
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 16:45
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 16:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.96%EV -5.30%E -2.17%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -3.83%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -6.08%E -2.51%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -6.08%E -2.51%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 16:45
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.00%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.94%EV -7.38%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 16:45
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 16:45
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.83%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -14.24%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 16:44
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-14 16:44
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-14 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-14 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -18.50%E -7.40%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-14 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -4.80%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -7.38%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 16:45
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 16:45
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.80%E -3.74%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 16:45
Bovada🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -9.96%E -4.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 16:45
BetUS🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -9.96%E -4.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.55%EV -9.96%E -4.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.88%EV -11.32%E -4.16%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.57%EV -10.52%E -3.36%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-14 16:41
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 16:43
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 16:44
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 16:45
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -6.43%E -2.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -17.10%E -5.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 16:45
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -17.10%E -5.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-14 16:45
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -17.67%E -6.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-14 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-14 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-14 16:45
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -14.58%E -5.57%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-14 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.30%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.57%EV -18.50%E -7.40%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.14%EV -17.67%E -6.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-14 16:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17%2.3%2026-04-14 16:45