La escuela de los momiosUS Catanzaro 1929 v Modena
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)
Predicción 38.81%2.58momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.46%38.69%38.77%39.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.82%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Modena (Visitante)
Predicción 32.60%3.07momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.511%
Kelly -0.764%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.89%32.71%32.61%35.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.762.753.0240.00%36.21%36.36%33.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.59%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -0.824%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.68%28.61%28.62%30.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.45%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.80%E -0.824%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.33%EV -4.53%E -1.84%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -1.54%E -0.511%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.63%EV -3.37%E -0.998%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 16:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.96%EV -5.30%E -2.17%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -3.83%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -6.08%E -2.51%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -6.08%E -2.51%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.00%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.94%EV -7.38%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.83%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -14.24%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 16:44 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-14 16:44 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -18.50%E -7.40%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -4.80%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -7.38%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.80%E -3.74%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Bovada | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -9.96%E -4.29%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| BetUS | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -9.96%E -4.29%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.55%EV -9.96%E -4.29%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.88%EV -11.32%E -4.16%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.57%EV -10.52%E -3.36%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-14 16:41 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-14 16:43 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-14 16:44 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -6.43%E -2.24%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -17.10%E -5.89%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -17.10%E -5.89%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -17.67%E -6.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -14.58%E -5.57%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-14 16:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.30%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.57%EV -18.50%E -7.40%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.14%EV -17.67%E -6.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17% | 2.3% | 2026-04-14 16:45 |