La scuola delle quote

US Catanzaro 1929 v Modena

Inizio: 2026-04-14 17:00 UTC

Finale: US Catanzaro 1929 2–2 Modena

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

US Catanzaro 1929 (Casa)

Previsione 38.81%2.58quota equa
EV -2.97%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.46%38.69%38.77%39.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.82%41.67%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Modena (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.60%3.07quota equa
EV -1.54%
Vantaggio -0.511%
Kelly -0.764%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.89%32.71%32.61%35.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.762.753.0240.00%36.21%36.36%33.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.59%3.50quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -0.824%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.68%28.61%28.62%30.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.45%31.25%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.80%E -0.824%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 16:45
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 16:45
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 16:45
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.33%EV -4.53%E -1.84%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -1.54%E -0.511%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.63%EV -3.37%E -0.998%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 16:45
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 16:45
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 16:45
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 16:44
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.96%EV -5.30%E -2.17%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -3.83%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 16:45
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -6.08%E -2.51%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 16:45
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -6.08%E -2.51%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 16:45
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.00%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.94%EV -7.38%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 16:45
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 16:45
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 16:45
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.83%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -14.24%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 16:44
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-14 16:44
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-14 16:45
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-14 16:45
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -18.50%E -7.40%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-14 16:45
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -4.80%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -7.38%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 16:45
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 16:45
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.80%E -3.74%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 16:45
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -9.96%E -4.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 16:45
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -9.96%E -4.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 16:44
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.55%EV -9.96%E -4.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.88%EV -11.32%E -4.16%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.57%EV -10.52%E -3.36%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-14 16:41
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 16:43
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 16:44
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 16:45
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 16:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -6.43%E -2.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -17.10%E -5.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 16:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -17.10%E -5.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-14 16:45
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -17.67%E -6.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-14 16:45
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-14 16:45
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-14 16:45
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -14.58%E -5.57%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-14 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.30%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.57%EV -18.50%E -7.40%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.14%EV -17.67%E -6.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-14 16:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17%2.3%2026-04-14 16:45