L’École des cotes

US Catanzaro 1929 v Modena

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 17:00 UTC

Score final : US Catanzaro 1929 2–2 Modena

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)

Prévision 38.81%2.58cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.46%38.69%38.77%39.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.82%41.67%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Modena (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.60%3.07cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.511%
Kelly -0.764%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.89%32.71%32.61%35.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.762.753.0240.00%36.21%36.36%33.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.59%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -0.824%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.68%28.61%28.62%30.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.45%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.80%E -0.824%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 16:45
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -14.26%E -5.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 16:45
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 16:45
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.33%EV -4.53%E -1.84%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -1.54%E -0.511%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.63%EV -3.37%E -0.998%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 16:45
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 16:45
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 16:45
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 16:44
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.96%EV -5.30%E -2.17%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -3.83%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 16:45
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -6.08%E -2.51%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 16:45
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -6.08%E -2.51%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.46%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 16:45
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.00%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.94%EV -7.38%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 16:45
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 16:45
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 16:45
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.83%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -14.24%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 16:44
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-14 16:44
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-14 16:45
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-14 16:45
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -18.50%E -7.40%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-14 16:45
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -4.80%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -7.38%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 16:45
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 16:45
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.80%E -3.74%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 16:45
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -9.96%E -4.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 16:45
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -9.96%E -4.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 16:44
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.55%EV -9.96%E -4.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.88%EV -11.32%E -4.16%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.57%EV -10.52%E -3.36%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-14 16:41
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-14 16:43
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 16:45
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 16:44
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 16:45
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 16:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -6.43%E -2.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -17.10%E -5.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 16:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -17.10%E -5.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-14 16:45
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -17.67%E -6.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-14 16:45
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-14 16:45
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-14 16:45
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -14.58%E -5.57%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-14 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.30%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.57%EV -18.50%E -7.40%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.14%EV -17.67%E -6.13%K -9.40%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-14 16:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-14 16:45
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17%2.3%2026-04-14 16:45