Language:English
Südtirol v Virtus Entella
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Südtirol (Local)
Prediction 53.15%1.88fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.616%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.45%52.94%53.17%54.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.751.751.8664.10%57.07%57.14%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Virtus Entella (Visit)
Prediction 18.05%5.54fair odd
EV +3.99%
Edge +0.693%
Kelly +0.838%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 5.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.94%18.12%18.08%20.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.884.755.7623.09%20.50%21.05%17.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.80%3.47fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.75%28.94%28.76%31.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.143.153.3437.74%31.83%31.75%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Südtirol (Local): 53.15%; Virtus Entella (Visit): 18.05%; Draw: 28.80%. For Virtus Entella (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.01%EV -4.87%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.78%EV +3.99%E +0.693%K +0.838%G +0.033% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.21%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.77%EV -10.18%E -6.02%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.94%EV +2.91%E +0.510%K +0.619%G +0.018% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 13:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.40%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.48%EV -4.39%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.48%EV -4.39%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.15%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.76%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.63%EV -8.59%E -4.99%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -2.51%E -0.465%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.67%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV -4.13%E -0.778%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.44%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.46%E -3.67%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -4.31%E -0.814%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -8.42%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.00%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -4.31%E -0.814%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.22%E -0.994%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.08%EV -1.15%E -0.616%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -6.12%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.03%EV -7.02%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.03%EV -7.02%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.81%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.58%EV -17.06%E -5.92%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.75%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.65%EV -17.35%E -6.04%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.36%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.18%EV -19.36%E -6.92%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.10%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -13.34%E -2.78%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -16.48%E -5.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 52.26%EV -17.09%E -10.96%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 16.98%EV -13.34%E -2.78%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 30.76%EV -23.68%E -8.94%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 22.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.38%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.38%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.46%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.19%EV -12.31%E -7.46%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.32%EV -15.15%E -3.22%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.49%EV -15.91%E -5.45%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-07 13:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -16.95%E -3.69%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -16.95%E -3.69%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -16.95%E -3.69%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.13%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -16.95%E -3.69%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -4.87%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -4.87%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.54%EV -5.40%E -3.03%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -20.56%E -4.67%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.39%EV -8.59%E -4.99%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -20.56%E -4.67%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.69%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -20.56%E -4.67%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.48%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.86%EV -21.83%E -5.04%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.66%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.12% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.28% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.16% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |