L’École des cotes

Südtirol v Virtus Entella

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 14:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Südtirol (Local)

Prévision 53.15%1.88cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.616%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.45%52.94%53.17%54.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.751.751.8664.10%57.07%57.14%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Virtus Entella (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.05%5.54cote équitable
EV +3.99%
Avantage +0.693%
Kelly +0.838%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 5.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.94%18.12%18.08%20.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.884.755.7623.09%20.50%21.05%17.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.80%3.47cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.75%28.94%28.76%31.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.653.143.153.3437.74%31.83%31.75%29.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.01%EV -4.87%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.78%EV +3.99%E +0.693%K +0.838%G +0.033%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.21%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 13:59
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 53.77%EV -10.18%E -6.02%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.94%EV +2.91%E +0.510%K +0.619%G +0.018%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 13:58
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.40%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.48%EV -4.39%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 13:59
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.48%EV -4.39%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.15%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 13:59
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.76%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:00
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 53.63%EV -8.59%E -4.99%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -2.51%E -0.465%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 13:59
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.67%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV -4.13%E -0.778%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.44%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 13:59
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.46%E -3.67%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -4.31%E -0.814%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -8.42%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.00%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -4.31%E -0.814%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.22%E -0.994%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.08%EV -1.15%E -0.616%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -6.12%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.03%EV -7.02%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 13:59
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.03%EV -7.02%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 13:59
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 13:59
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 51.81%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.58%EV -17.06%E -5.92%K -9.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 14:00
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.75%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.65%EV -17.35%E -6.04%K -9.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.36%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.18%EV -19.36%E -6.92%K -10.76%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.10%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -13.34%E -2.78%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -16.48%E -5.68%K -8.68%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-07 13:59
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 52.26%EV -17.09%E -10.96%K -30.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 16.98%EV -13.34%E -2.78%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 30.76%EV -23.68%E -8.94%K -14.35%G +0.000%22.7%2026-03-07 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.38%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.38%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 13:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 13:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 13:59
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.46%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.19%EV -12.31%E -7.46%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.32%EV -15.15%E -3.22%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.49%EV -15.91%E -5.45%K -8.28%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-07 13:58
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -16.95%E -3.69%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 13:59
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -16.95%E -3.69%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 13:59
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -16.95%E -3.69%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:00
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.13%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -16.95%E -3.69%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:00
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:00
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:00
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -4.87%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:00
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -4.87%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:00
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 50.54%EV -5.40%E -3.03%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -20.56%E -4.67%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.39%EV -8.59%E -4.99%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -20.56%E -4.67%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.69%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -20.56%E -4.67%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.48%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.86%EV -21.83%E -5.04%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.66%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.12%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.28%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.16%2.4%2026-03-07 14:00