La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Südtirol v Virtus Entella
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Südtirol (Local)
Predicción 53.15%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.616%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.45%52.94%53.17%54.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.751.751.8664.10%57.07%57.14%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Virtus Entella (Visitante)
Predicción 18.05%5.54momio equitativo
EV +3.99%
Ventaja +0.693%
Kelly +0.838%
Crecimiento +0.033%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.94%18.12%18.08%20.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.884.755.7623.09%20.50%21.05%17.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.80%3.47momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.75%28.94%28.76%31.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.653.143.153.3437.74%31.83%31.75%29.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.01%EV -4.87%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.78%EV +3.99%E +0.693%K +0.838%G +0.033% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.21%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.77%EV -10.18%E -6.02%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.94%EV +2.91%E +0.510%K +0.619%G +0.018% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 13:58 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.40%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.48%EV -4.39%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.48%EV -4.39%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.15%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.76%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -0.703%E -0.128%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BetUS | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.63%EV -8.59%E -4.99%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -2.51%E -0.465%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.67%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV -4.13%E -0.778%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.44%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.46%E -3.67%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -4.31%E -0.814%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -8.42%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.00%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -4.31%E -0.814%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.22%E -0.994%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.08%EV -1.15%E -0.616%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -6.12%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.03%EV -7.02%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.03%EV -7.02%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.81%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.58%EV -17.06%E -5.92%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.75%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.65%EV -17.35%E -6.04%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.36%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -9.73%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.18%EV -19.36%E -6.92%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.10%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -13.34%E -2.78%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -16.48%E -5.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 52.26%EV -17.09%E -10.96%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 16.98%EV -13.34%E -2.78%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 30.76%EV -23.68%E -8.94%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 22.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.38%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.38%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.46%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -14.24%E -3.00%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.19%EV -12.31%E -7.46%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.32%EV -15.15%E -3.22%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.49%EV -15.91%E -5.45%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-07 13:58 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -16.95%E -3.69%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -16.95%E -3.69%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -16.95%E -3.69%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.13%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -16.95%E -3.69%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -4.87%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -4.87%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -18.76%E -4.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.54%EV -5.40%E -3.03%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -20.56%E -4.67%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.39%EV -8.59%E -4.99%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -20.56%E -4.67%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.69%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -20.56%E -4.67%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.48%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.86%EV -21.83%E -5.04%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.66%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.12% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.28% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.16% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |