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Südtirol v US Catanzaro 1929

2026-09-05 13:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Südtirol (Local)

Prediction 41.10%2.43fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.39%41.12%41.03%42.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.252.3448.78%44.92%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit)

Prediction 29.18%3.43fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.666%
Kelly -0.950%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.44%29.15%29.19%29.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.123.103.3533.90%32.01%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.72%3.37fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.588%
Kelly -0.843%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.85%29.74%29.77%30.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.073.053.3034.48%32.59%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Südtirol (Local): 41.10%; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit): 29.18%; Draw: 29.72%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.30, with an expected value of -1.94%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.80%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.37%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 09:24
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -1.94%E -0.588%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 12:09
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 12:04
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.88%E -2.57%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.23%E -0.666%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.51%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 09:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.87%EV -7.11%E -3.15%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 13:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.87%EV -7.11%E -3.15%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 13:05
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 12:14
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.67%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.48%EV -5.51%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 09:24
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 12:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 09:24
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 09:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 09:24
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 09:20
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 09:19
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 12:10
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -8.35%E -3.74%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -5.51%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 09:20
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -6.40%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 12:10
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 10:05
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 09:20
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 12:00
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 12:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.88%EV -10.40%E -4.77%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -10.99%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.90%EV -11.45%E -3.84%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 13:03
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.63%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 09:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -11.63%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -13.91%E -4.71%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-31 09:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -13.69%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -12.34%E -4.18%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-31 13:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.05%EV -15.74%E -7.68%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -12.34%E -4.18%K -6.33%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-31 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 40.30%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.54%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.16%15.9%2026-08-31 09:25