Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Südtirol v US Catanzaro 1929

2026-09-05 13:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Südtirol (Casa)

Previsione 41.10%2.43quota equa
EV -3.83%
Vantaggio -1.63%
Kelly -2.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.39%41.12%41.03%42.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.232.252.3448.78%44.92%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

US Catanzaro 1929 (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.18%3.43quota equa
EV -2.23%
Vantaggio -0.666%
Kelly -0.950%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.44%29.15%29.19%29.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.123.103.3533.90%32.01%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.72%3.37quota equa
EV -1.94%
Vantaggio -0.588%
Kelly -0.843%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.85%29.74%29.77%30.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.073.053.3034.48%32.59%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Südtirol (Casa): 41.10%; US Catanzaro 1929 (Trasferta): 29.18%; Pareggio: 29.72%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.37. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.30, con un valore atteso del -1.94%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.80%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.37%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 09:24
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -1.94%E -0.588%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 12:09
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 12:04
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.88%E -2.57%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.23%E -0.666%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.51%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 09:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.87%EV -7.11%E -3.15%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 13:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.87%EV -7.11%E -3.15%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 13:05
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 12:14
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.67%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.48%EV -5.51%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 09:24
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.15%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 12:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 09:24
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 09:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 09:24
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 09:20
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 09:19
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 12:10
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -8.35%E -3.74%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -5.51%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 09:20
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -6.40%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 12:10
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 10:05
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 09:20
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 12:00
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 12:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.88%EV -10.40%E -4.77%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -10.99%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.90%EV -11.45%E -3.84%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 13:03
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.63%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 09:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -11.63%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -13.91%E -4.71%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-31 09:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -13.69%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -12.34%E -4.18%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-31 13:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.05%EV -15.74%E -7.68%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -12.34%E -4.18%K -6.33%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-31 09:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 40.30%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.54%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.16%15.9%2026-08-31 09:25