A Escola das Odds

Südtirol v Modena

Início: 2026-04-11 13:02 UTC

Final: Südtirol 1–1 Modena

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Südtirol (Local)

Previsão 31.20%3.20odd justa
EV -0.775%
Vantagem -0.244%
Kelly -0.355%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.68%31.14%31.25%32.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.802.922.903.1835.71%34.22%34.48%31.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Modena (Visitante)

Previsão 37.54%2.66odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.14%37.53%37.50%39.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.412.412.5945.45%41.43%41.49%38.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.26%3.20odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -0.585%
Kelly -0.859%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.60%31.34%31.25%34.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.932.903.1438.46%34.15%34.48%31.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.48%EV -0.775%E -0.244%K -0.355%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.42%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.10%EV -5.59%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 13:00
1xBet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.28%EV -2.02%E -0.644%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -9.54%E -3.96%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.28%EV -1.84%E -0.585%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 12:59
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:00
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -15.59%E -5.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 12:59
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.45%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.61%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.94%EV -3.09%E -0.996%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 13:00
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -5.14%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -5.79%E -2.31%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 12:59
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:00
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:00
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:00
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.66%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:00
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.30%EV -7.29%E -2.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.23%EV -7.66%E -3.12%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.25%EV -11.22%E -3.95%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 12:59
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.23%EV -7.66%E -3.12%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.25%EV -11.22%E -3.95%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:00
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -18.09%E -6.91%K -11.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 13:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -18.09%E -6.91%K -11.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 13:00
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.90%E -3.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:00
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:00
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -8.89%E -3.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.89%EV -6.84%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:00
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -8.89%E -3.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.89%EV -6.84%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:00
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 12:59
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 12:48
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:00
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:01
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 12:59
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.90%E -3.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -18.72%E -7.20%K -11.70%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 13:00
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -10.67%E -4.48%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.09%E -0.996%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -12.92%E -5.57%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -12.92%E -5.57%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -17.42%E -7.92%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -14.03%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 12:59
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.67%EV -14.42%E -6.32%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 13:00
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -12.01%E -4.26%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.32%EV -14.80%E -6.52%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -11.84%E -4.20%K -6.51%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 13:00
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 13:00
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 13:00
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 12:58
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.99%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.56%EV -15.55%E -6.91%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.45%EV -10.90%E -3.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 13:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-04-11 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-04-11 13:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-04-11 13:00
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71%1.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.50%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.53%2.5%2026-04-11 13:00