L’École des cotes

Südtirol v Modena

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 13:02 UTC

Score final : Südtirol 1–1 Modena

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Südtirol (Local)

Prévision 31.20%3.20cote équitable
EV -0.775%
Avantage -0.244%
Kelly -0.355%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.68%31.14%31.25%32.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.922.903.1835.71%34.22%34.48%31.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Modena (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.54%2.66cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.14%37.53%37.50%39.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.412.412.5945.45%41.43%41.49%38.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.26%3.20cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.585%
Kelly -0.859%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.60%31.34%31.25%34.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.932.903.1438.46%34.15%34.48%31.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.48%EV -0.775%E -0.244%K -0.355%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.42%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.10%EV -5.59%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 13:00
1xBet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.28%EV -2.02%E -0.644%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -9.54%E -3.96%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.28%EV -1.84%E -0.585%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 12:59
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:00
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -15.59%E -5.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 12:59
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.45%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.61%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.94%EV -3.09%E -0.996%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 13:00
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -5.14%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -5.79%E -2.31%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 12:59
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:00
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:00
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:00
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.66%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:00
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.30%EV -7.29%E -2.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.23%EV -7.66%E -3.12%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.25%EV -11.22%E -3.95%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 12:59
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.23%EV -7.66%E -3.12%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.25%EV -11.22%E -3.95%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:00
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -18.09%E -6.91%K -11.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 13:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -18.09%E -6.91%K -11.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 13:00
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.90%E -3.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:00
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:00
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -8.89%E -3.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.89%EV -6.84%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:00
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -8.89%E -3.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.89%EV -6.84%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:00
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 12:59
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 12:48
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:00
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:01
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 12:59
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.90%E -3.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -18.72%E -7.20%K -11.70%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 13:00
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -10.67%E -4.48%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.09%E -0.996%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -12.92%E -5.57%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -12.92%E -5.57%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -17.42%E -7.92%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -14.03%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 12:59
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.67%EV -14.42%E -6.32%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 13:00
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -12.01%E -4.26%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.32%EV -14.80%E -6.52%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -11.84%E -4.20%K -6.51%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 13:00
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 13:00
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 13:00
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 12:58
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.99%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.56%EV -15.55%E -6.91%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.45%EV -10.90%E -3.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-04-11 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-04-11 13:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-04-11 13:00
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71%1.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.50%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.53%2.5%2026-04-11 13:00