Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Südtirol v Modena

Początek: 2026-04-11 13:02 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Südtirol 1–1 Modena

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Südtirol (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 31.20%3.20kurs godziwy
EV -0.775%
Przewaga -0.244%
Kelly -0.355%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.18

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.68%31.14%31.25%32.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.802.922.903.1835.71%34.22%34.48%31.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Modena (Goście)

Prognoza 37.54%2.66kurs godziwy
EV -2.78%
Przewaga -1.07%
Kelly -1.75%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.59

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.14%37.53%37.50%39.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.412.412.5945.45%41.43%41.49%38.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 31.26%3.20kurs godziwy
EV -1.84%
Przewaga -0.585%
Kelly -0.859%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.14

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.60%31.34%31.25%34.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.602.932.903.1438.46%34.15%34.48%31.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Südtirol (Gospodarze): 31.20%; Modena (Goście): 37.54%; Remis: 31.26%. Dla wyniku Südtirol (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.20. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.18, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.775%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.48%EV -0.775%E -0.244%K -0.355%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.42%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.10%EV -5.59%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 13:00
1xBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.28%EV -2.02%E -0.644%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -9.54%E -3.96%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.28%EV -1.84%E -0.585%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 12:59
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:00
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -15.59%E -5.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 12:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.45%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.61%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.94%EV -3.09%E -0.996%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -5.14%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -5.79%E -2.31%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:00
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:00
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:00
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.66%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:00
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.30%EV -7.29%E -2.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.23%EV -7.66%E -3.12%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.25%EV -11.22%E -3.95%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.23%EV -7.66%E -3.12%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.25%EV -11.22%E -3.95%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:00
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -18.09%E -6.91%K -11.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 13:00
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -18.09%E -6.91%K -11.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.90%E -3.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:00
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -8.89%E -3.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.89%EV -6.84%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:00
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -8.89%E -3.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.89%EV -6.84%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:00
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 12:59
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 12:48
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:00
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 12:59
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.90%E -3.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:00
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -18.72%E -7.20%K -11.70%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 13:00
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -10.67%E -4.48%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.09%E -0.996%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -12.92%E -5.57%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -12.92%E -5.57%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -17.42%E -7.92%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -14.03%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 12:59
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.67%EV -14.42%E -6.32%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 13:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -12.01%E -4.26%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.32%EV -14.80%E -6.52%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -11.84%E -4.20%K -6.51%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 13:00
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 13:00
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 13:00
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 12:58
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.99%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.56%EV -15.55%E -6.91%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.45%EV -10.90%E -3.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 13:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-04-11 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-04-11 13:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-04-11 13:00
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71%1.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.50%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.53%2.5%2026-04-11 13:00