La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Südtirol v Modena
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Südtirol (Local)
Predicción 31.20%3.20momio equitativo
EV -0.775%
Ventaja -0.244%
Kelly -0.355%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.68%31.14%31.25%32.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.922.903.1835.71%34.22%34.48%31.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Modena (Visitante)
Predicción 37.54%2.66momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.14%37.53%37.50%39.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.412.412.5945.45%41.43%41.49%38.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.26%3.20momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.585%
Kelly -0.859%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.60%31.34%31.25%34.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.932.903.1438.46%34.15%34.48%31.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.48%EV -0.775%E -0.244%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.42%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.10%EV -5.59%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.28%EV -2.02%E -0.644%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -9.54%E -3.96%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.28%EV -1.84%E -0.585%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -15.59%E -5.78%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.45%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.61%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.94%EV -3.09%E -0.996%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -5.14%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -5.79%E -2.31%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.66%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.30%EV -7.29%E -2.95%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.23%EV -7.66%E -3.12%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.25%EV -11.22%E -3.95%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.23%EV -7.66%E -3.12%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.25%EV -11.22%E -3.95%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -18.09%E -6.91%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -18.09%E -6.91%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.90%E -3.83%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -8.89%E -3.04%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.89%EV -6.84%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -8.89%E -3.04%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.89%EV -6.84%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.21%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Unibet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 12:48 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| betPARX | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.65%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.90%E -3.83%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -18.72%E -7.20%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -10.67%E -4.48%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.09%E -0.996%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -12.92%E -5.57%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -12.92%E -5.57%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -17.42%E -7.92%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -14.03%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.67%EV -14.42%E -6.32%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -12.01%E -4.26%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.32%EV -14.80%E -6.52%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -11.84%E -4.20%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 12:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.99%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.56%EV -15.55%E -6.91%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.45%EV -10.90%E -3.83%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.62% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.50% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.97% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.53% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |