Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Südtirol v Juve Stabia

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 18:32 UTC

Final: Südtirol 1–1 Juve Stabia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Südtirol (Local)

Prediction 58.23%1.72fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -6.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.31%58.20%58.19%59.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.571.6566.67%63.39%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juve Stabia (Visit)

Prediction 16.70%5.99fair odd
EV +4.35%
Edge +0.695%
Kelly +0.828%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.32%16.67%16.71%17.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.435.306.2520.41%18.43%18.87%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.08%3.99fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -0.897%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.93%25.13%25.10%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.663.703.8530.30%27.32%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Südtirol (Local): 58.23%; Juve Stabia (Visit): 16.70%; Draw: 25.08%. For Juve Stabia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.99. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.32%EV +4.35%E +0.695%K +0.828%G +0.036%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.59%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:29
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +0.173%E +0.029%K +0.035%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 18:30
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -3.92%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.28%EV -2.33%E -0.399%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.49%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.84%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.13%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.13%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:30
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.70%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.59%EV -5.09%E -3.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.55%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 18:28
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:29
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 18:29
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.30%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.68%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -4.84%E -0.848%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:28
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:29
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:29
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:28
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 18:29
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:29
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -11.51%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -11.51%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -11.51%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.06%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:30
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.48%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.90%EV -10.33%E -6.71%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 18:27
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.03%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.74%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -13.49%E -3.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 18:28
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.04%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.64%EV -14.85%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 57.68%EV -12.08%E -8.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.08%EV -14.85%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -13.49%E -3.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-08 18:29
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 18:29
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -14.74%E -4.34%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-08 18:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -12.08%E -8.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.51%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.29%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.20%EV -17.25%E -5.23%K -7.50%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -11.49%E -7.56%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -18.19%E -3.71%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-05-08 18:30
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%1.4%2026-05-08 18:30
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.33%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.46%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-05-08 18:29