L’École des cotes

Südtirol v Juve Stabia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 18:32 UTC

Score final : Südtirol 1–1 Juve Stabia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Südtirol (Local)

Prévision 58.23%1.72cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -6.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.31%58.20%58.19%59.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.571.6566.67%63.39%63.69%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Juve Stabia (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.70%5.99cote équitable
EV +4.35%
Avantage +0.695%
Kelly +0.828%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.32%16.67%16.71%17.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.435.306.2520.41%18.43%18.87%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.08%3.99cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -0.897%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.93%25.13%25.10%26.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.663.703.8530.30%27.32%27.03%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.32%EV +4.35%E +0.695%K +0.828%G +0.036%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.59%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:29
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +0.173%E +0.029%K +0.035%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 18:30
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -3.92%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.28%EV -2.33%E -0.399%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.49%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.84%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 18:29
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.13%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.13%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:30
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.70%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:30
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.59%EV -5.09%E -3.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.55%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 18:28
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:29
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 18:29
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.30%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.68%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -4.84%E -0.848%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:28
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:29
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:30
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 18:29
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:29
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:28
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 18:29
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:30
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:29
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -11.51%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -11.51%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -11.51%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.06%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:30
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:30
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.48%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.90%EV -10.33%E -6.71%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 18:27
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:29
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:29
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.03%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.74%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -13.49%E -3.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 18:28
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 58.04%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.64%EV -14.85%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.68%EV -12.08%E -8.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.08%EV -14.85%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -13.49%E -3.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-08 18:29
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 18:29
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -14.74%E -4.34%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-08 18:29
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -12.08%E -8.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.51%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.29%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.20%EV -17.25%E -5.23%K -7.50%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -11.49%E -7.56%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -18.19%E -3.71%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-05-08 18:30
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%1.4%2026-05-08 18:30
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.33%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.46%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-05-08 18:29