La escuela de los momios

Südtirol v Juve Stabia

Inicio: 2026-05-08 18:32 UTC

Final: Südtirol 1–1 Juve Stabia

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Südtirol (Local)

Predicción 58.23%1.72momio equitativo
EV -3.92%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -6.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.31%58.20%58.19%59.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.571.6566.67%63.39%63.69%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Juve Stabia (Visitante)

Predicción 16.70%5.99momio equitativo
EV +4.35%
Ventaja +0.695%
Kelly +0.828%
Crecimiento +0.036%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.32%16.67%16.71%17.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.435.306.2520.41%18.43%18.87%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.08%3.99momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -0.897%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.93%25.13%25.10%26.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.663.703.8530.30%27.32%27.03%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.32%EV +4.35%E +0.695%K +0.828%G +0.036%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.59%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:29
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +0.173%E +0.029%K +0.035%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 18:30
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -3.92%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.28%EV -2.33%E -0.399%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.49%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.84%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 18:29
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.13%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.13%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:30
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.70%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -3.17%E -0.546%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:30
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.59%EV -5.09%E -3.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.55%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 18:28
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:29
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 18:29
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.30%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -4.00%E -0.696%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.68%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -4.84%E -0.848%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:28
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:29
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:30
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 18:29
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:29
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:28
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 18:29
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:30
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -8.17%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:29
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -11.51%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -11.51%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -11.51%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.46%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.06%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:30
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:30
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.48%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.90%EV -10.33%E -6.71%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -12.35%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 18:27
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:29
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:29
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.03%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.74%EV -13.18%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -13.49%E -3.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 18:28
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 58.04%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.64%EV -14.85%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.68%EV -12.08%E -8.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.08%EV -14.85%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -13.49%E -3.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-08 18:29
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 18:29
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -14.74%E -4.34%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-08 18:29
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -12.08%E -8.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.51%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.29%EV -16.52%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.20%EV -17.25%E -5.23%K -7.50%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -11.49%E -7.56%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -18.19%E -3.71%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-05-08 18:30
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%1.4%2026-05-08 18:30
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.33%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.46%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-05-08 18:29