Language:English
Südtirol v Bari
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Südtirol (Local)
Prediction 50.56%1.98fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -4.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.00%50.62%50.54%52.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.831.851.9057.80%54.62%54.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bari (Visit)
Prediction 21.23%4.71fair odd
EV +3.81%
Edge +0.779%
Kelly +0.980%
Growth +0.037%
assuming max odds 4.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.36%21.17%21.25%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.264.224.8926.32%23.48%23.67%20.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.21%3.55fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.41%28.21%28.22%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.253.253.4134.72%30.79%30.77%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Südtirol (Local): 50.56%; Bari (Visit): 21.23%; Draw: 28.21%. For Bari (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.71. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.06%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.70%EV +3.81%E +0.779%K +0.980%G +0.037% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.92%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV +2.33%E +0.482%K +0.609%G +0.014% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -5.51%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -10.50%E -5.93%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV +1.90%E +0.396%K +0.500%G +0.010% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-22 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.72%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -0.222%E -0.047%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.72%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -0.222%E -0.047%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.35%E -0.510%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.35%E -0.510%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-22 17:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -9.99%E -5.61%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -2.35%E -0.510%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.47%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.47%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -11.51%E -6.58%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -4.47%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -11.51%E -6.58%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -4.47%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.76%EV -5.95%E -3.20%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.22%EV -5.53%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.02%EV -4.95%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 17:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -8.08%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.51%E -6.58%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -8.08%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.37%EV -6.96%E -3.78%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.47%EV -12.52%E -7.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.71%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.78%E -2.30%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -11.15%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -11.51%E -6.58%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -12.52%E -7.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -18.77%E -6.52%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -12.96%E -3.16%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -5.95%E -3.20%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -12.96%E -3.16%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -5.51%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -5.51%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.51%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.14%E -4.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -16.14%E -4.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -16.14%E -4.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.21%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -17.21%E -4.41%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.04%EV -9.49%E -5.30%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -19.33%E -5.09%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -11.15%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |