La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Südtirol v Bari
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Südtirol (Local)
Predicción 50.56%1.98momio equitativo
EV -3.93%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -4.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.00%50.62%50.54%52.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.831.851.9057.80%54.62%54.05%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bari (Visitante)
Predicción 21.23%4.71momio equitativo
EV +3.81%
Ventaja +0.779%
Kelly +0.980%
Crecimiento +0.037%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.36%21.17%21.25%23.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.264.224.8926.32%23.48%23.67%20.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.21%3.55momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.41%28.21%28.22%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.253.4134.72%30.79%30.77%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.06%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.70%EV +3.81%E +0.779%K +0.980%G +0.037% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.92%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV +2.33%E +0.482%K +0.609%G +0.014% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -5.51%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -10.50%E -5.93%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV +1.90%E +0.396%K +0.500%G +0.010% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-22 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.72%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -0.222%E -0.047%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.72%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -0.222%E -0.047%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.35%E -0.510%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.35%E -0.510%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-22 17:49 |
| BetUS | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -9.99%E -5.61%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -2.35%E -0.510%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.47%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.47%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -11.51%E -6.58%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -4.47%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -11.51%E -6.58%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -4.47%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.76%EV -5.95%E -3.20%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.22%EV -5.53%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.02%EV -4.95%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 17:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -8.08%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.51%E -6.58%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -8.08%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.37%EV -6.96%E -3.78%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.47%EV -12.52%E -7.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.71%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.78%E -2.30%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -11.15%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -11.51%E -6.58%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -12.52%E -7.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -18.77%E -6.52%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -12.96%E -3.16%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -5.95%E -3.20%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -12.96%E -3.16%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -5.51%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -5.51%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.51%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.14%E -4.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -16.14%E -4.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -16.14%E -4.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.21%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -17.21%E -4.41%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.04%EV -9.49%E -5.30%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -19.33%E -5.09%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -11.15%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |