L’École des cotes

Südtirol v Bari

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 18:00 UTC

Score final : Südtirol 0–0 Bari

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Südtirol (Local)

Prévision 50.56%1.98cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -4.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.00%50.62%50.54%52.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.831.851.9057.80%54.62%54.05%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bari (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.23%4.71cote équitable
EV +3.81%
Avantage +0.779%
Kelly +0.980%
Croissance +0.037%

avec la cote maximale 4.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.36%21.17%21.25%23.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.264.224.8926.32%23.48%23.67%20.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.21%3.55cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.41%28.21%28.22%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.253.253.4134.72%30.79%30.77%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.06%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.70%EV +3.81%E +0.779%K +0.980%G +0.037%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 17:50
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.92%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV +2.33%E +0.482%K +0.609%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -5.51%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 17:50
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -10.50%E -5.93%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV +1.90%E +0.396%K +0.500%G +0.010%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-22 17:49
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.72%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -0.222%E -0.047%K -0.060%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 17:40
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.72%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -0.222%E -0.047%K -0.060%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 17:50
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.35%E -0.510%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 17:30
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.35%E -0.510%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 17:49
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -9.99%E -5.61%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -2.35%E -0.510%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 17:50
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.47%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 17:40
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.47%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 17:50
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -11.51%E -6.58%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -4.47%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-22 17:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -11.51%E -6.58%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -4.47%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-22 17:40
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.76%EV -5.95%E -3.20%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.22%EV -5.53%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.02%EV -4.95%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 17:49
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 17:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 17:40
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 17:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 17:40
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 17:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 17:40
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -8.08%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-22 17:30
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.51%E -6.58%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -8.08%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-22 17:40
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-22 17:50
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.37%EV -6.96%E -3.78%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 17:40
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.47%EV -12.52%E -7.24%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.71%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.78%E -2.30%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 17:40
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 17:40
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 17:49
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -11.15%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 17:40
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-22 17:40
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -11.51%E -6.58%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-22 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -12.52%E -7.24%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -10.84%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -18.77%E -6.52%K -9.98%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-22 17:40
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -12.96%E -3.16%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 17:40
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -5.95%E -3.20%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -12.96%E -3.16%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 17:40
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -5.51%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 17:30
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -5.51%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 17:30
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.51%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 17:30
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 17:30
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 17:30
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 17:30
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 17:30
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 17:30
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.74%E -3.04%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-22 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-22 17:40
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-22 17:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.56%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-22 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.14%E -4.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -16.14%E -4.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-22 17:30
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -16.14%E -4.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-22 17:30
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.21%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -17.21%E -4.41%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.33%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 17:30
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.04%EV -9.49%E -5.30%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -19.33%E -5.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -11.15%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-22 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-05-22 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-05-22 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-05-22 17:40
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-05-22 17:40
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-05-22 17:50