Language:English
Spezia v Venezia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Spezia (Local)
Prediction 19.50%5.13fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.228%
Kelly -0.284%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.27%19.64%19.47%21.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.154.634.605.0724.10%21.62%21.74%19.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Venezia (Visit)
Prediction 57.87%1.73fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.25%57.71%57.82%59.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.601.6665.79%62.56%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.64%4.42fair odd
EV -0.395%
Edge -0.090%
Kelly -0.116%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.60%22.65%22.72%24.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.983.984.4028.57%25.11%25.16%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Spezia (Local): 19.50%; Venezia (Visit): 57.87%; Draw: 22.64%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.40, with an expected value of -0.395%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.90%EV -1.16%E -0.228%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.73%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.73%EV -1.16%E -0.228%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.98%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.29%EV -3.56%E -0.837%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.27%EV -1.55%E -0.306%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.38%EV -8.57%E -5.42%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.52%E -0.504%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -0.395%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.52%E -0.504%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -3.50%E -0.706%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -4.47%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.97%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.52%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -3.79%E -0.892%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.32%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.32%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -8.57%E -5.42%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -15.11%E -4.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.51%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.68%EV -11.03%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -14.22%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.32%EV -8.57%E -5.42%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -14.22%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.30%EV -9.73%E -6.24%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -16.24%E -4.39%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.97%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.16%EV -12.04%E -7.92%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.97%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.85%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -20.77%E -5.93%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -18.12%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.93%EV -10.89%E -7.07%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.97%EV -19.09%E -4.60%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.25%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.97%EV -19.09%E -4.60%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.25%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.09% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.09% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.09% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.28% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85% | 1.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.12% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |