La scuola delle quote

Spezia v Venezia

Inizio: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

Finale: Spezia 2–2 Venezia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Spezia (Casa)

Previsione 19.50%5.13quota equa
EV -1.16%
Vantaggio -0.228%
Kelly -0.284%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.27%19.64%19.47%21.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.154.634.605.0724.10%21.62%21.74%19.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Venezia (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.87%1.73quota equa
EV -3.94%
Vantaggio -2.37%
Kelly -5.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.25%57.71%57.82%59.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.601.601.6665.79%62.56%62.50%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.64%4.42quota equa
EV -0.395%
Vantaggio -0.090%
Kelly -0.116%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.60%22.65%22.72%24.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.983.984.4028.57%25.11%25.16%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle5.07I 19.72%NM 18.90%EV -1.16%E -0.228%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.73%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 12:59
1xBet5.07I 19.72%NM 18.73%EV -1.16%E -0.228%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.98%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.29%EV -3.56%E -0.837%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS5.05I 19.80%NM 18.27%EV -1.55%E -0.306%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.38%EV -8.57%E -5.42%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.52%E -0.504%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -0.395%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.52%E -0.504%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Marathon Bet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -3.50%E -0.706%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 12:58
Codere (IT)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -4.47%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.97%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 13:00
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 13:00
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Bovada4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.52%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -3.79%E -0.892%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Betsson4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.32%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 12:59
NordicBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.32%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 12:59
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 13:00
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 13:00
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 12:59
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betr (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -8.57%E -5.42%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 12:59
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 13:00
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -15.11%E -4.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.51%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.68%EV -11.03%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-01 12:58
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -14.22%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.32%EV -8.57%E -5.42%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 12:59
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -14.22%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.30%EV -9.73%E -6.24%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -16.24%E -4.39%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 19.97%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.16%EV -12.04%E -7.92%K -23.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.97%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-01 12:59
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 55.85%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -20.77%E -5.93%K -8.31%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -18.12%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 56.93%EV -10.89%E -7.07%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 13:00
BetOnline.ag4.15I 24.10%NM 21.97%EV -19.09%E -4.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.25%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 12:59
LowVig.ag4.15I 24.10%NM 21.97%EV -19.09%E -4.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.25%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.09%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.09%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.09%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.28%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%1.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.12%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-05-01 13:00