L’École des cotesSpezia v Venezia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Spezia (Local)
Prévision 19.50%5.13cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.228%
Kelly -0.284%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.27%19.64%19.47%21.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.154.634.605.0724.10%21.62%21.74%19.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Venezia (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.87%1.73cote équitable
EV -3.94%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -5.97%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.25%57.71%57.82%59.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.601.601.6665.79%62.56%62.50%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.64%4.42cote équitable
EV -0.395%
Avantage -0.090%
Kelly -0.116%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.60%22.65%22.72%24.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.983.984.4028.57%25.11%25.16%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.90%EV -1.16%E -0.228%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.73%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| 1xBet | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.73%EV -1.16%E -0.228%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.98%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.29%EV -3.56%E -0.837%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetUS | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.27%EV -1.55%E -0.306%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.38%EV -8.57%E -5.42%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coolbet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.52%E -0.504%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -0.395%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.52%E -0.504%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -3.50%E -0.706%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -4.47%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.97%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| FanDuel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bovada | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.52%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -3.79%E -0.892%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betsson | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.32%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| NordicBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.32%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| William Hill | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| betfred_uk | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -8.57%E -5.42%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -6.83%E -4.25%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -5.68%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -15.11%E -4.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.51%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.68%EV -11.03%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -14.22%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.32%EV -8.57%E -5.42%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -14.22%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.30%EV -9.73%E -6.24%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -16.24%E -4.39%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.97%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.16%EV -12.04%E -7.92%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Neds | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.97%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -15.58%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.85%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -20.77%E -5.93%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -18.12%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.93%EV -10.89%E -7.07%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.97%EV -19.09%E -4.60%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.25%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.97%EV -19.09%E -4.60%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.25%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.09% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.09% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.09% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.28% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85% | 1.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.12% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |