A Escola das Odds

Spezia v Empoli

Início: 2026-03-17 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Spezia (Local)

Previsão 36.26%2.76odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.20%36.31%36.15%37.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.512.502.6843.48%39.86%40.00%37.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empoli (Visitante)

Previsão 31.90%3.13odd justa
EV -2.06%
Vantagem -0.670%
Kelly -0.994%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.74%31.89%31.90%34.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.882.903.0740.00%34.76%34.48%32.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.84%3.14odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.417%
Kelly -0.615%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.34%31.80%31.95%33.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.862.853.1040.82%34.95%35.09%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.11%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.52%EV -2.06%E -0.670%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.37%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 18:45
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.95%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 18:35
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 18:35
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 18:35
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 18:30
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -5.25%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 18:50
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 18:40
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 18:40
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 18:55
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.19%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -2.88%E -0.945%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 18:50
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -6.46%E -2.50%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.02%E -2.41%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 18:35
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -6.46%E -2.50%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.02%E -2.41%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 18:35
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -1.29%E -0.417%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 18:50
Bovada2.54I 39.37%NM 36.25%EV -7.91%E -3.11%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -9.89%E -3.49%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 18:39
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 36.25%EV -7.91%E -3.11%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -9.89%E -3.49%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 18:40
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 18:30
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:10
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:15
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.08%E -3.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.08%E -3.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 18:55
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 18:35
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.08%E -3.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 18:35
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 18:40
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 18:40
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -14.03%E -5.20%K -8.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-17 18:40
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -14.03%E -5.20%K -8.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-17 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -10.09%E -4.07%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:15
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -10.09%E -4.07%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:15
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.17%EV -10.45%E -4.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.68%EV -10.03%E -3.56%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.14%EV -11.48%E -4.13%K -6.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 18:32
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:33
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:50
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:49
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:50
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 18:50
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 18:50
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -12.44%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 23:09
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.43%EV -11.17%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.01%EV -16.26%E -6.18%K -9.97%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-17 18:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-17 18:35
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-17 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -20.24%E -8.10%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-17 18:46
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.25%EV -13.71%E -5.76%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.93%EV -16.41%E -6.26%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.81%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-17 18:39
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 36.25%EV -14.07%E -5.94%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.58%EV -13.22%E -4.86%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.17%EV -14.98%E -5.61%K -8.97%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-17 18:40
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 35.20%EV -16.61%E -7.22%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 31.75%EV -18.65%E -7.31%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.05%EV -21.99%E -8.97%K -15.16%G +0.000%23.5%2026-03-17 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-17 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-17 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-03-17 18:55
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-03-17 18:55
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.57%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%2.6%2026-03-17 18:55